AI Paper Atlas

Research map / Large language models / Language, safety and interpretability

Statistical frameworks for LLM evaluation

Use conformal prediction, ranking models, and noise analysis for valid LLM evaluation.

124 accepted papers at ICML, NeurIPS, ICLR, CVPR and AAAI (2020–2026) · an approach in Language, safety and interpretability, keyword cluster “safety · jailbreak · harmful”

State History Tried Checklist Preprints Who Export

Where it stands

Not enough benchmark data Fewer than four papers report the same benchmark, so there is no record to follow.

23 papers in 2023–24 and 96 in 2025–26 (at ICML, NeurIPS, ICLR, CVPR and AAAI); its share of the topic grew, from 3.3% to 5.2%.

How this is decided

A benchmark is tracked when at least four papers of this approach report their own method on the same dataset and metric in at least two different years. Its record is the best number reported up to 2024 compared with the best reported in 2025–26: still improving means at least 1% better, flat means at most 0.2% better with at least two papers from 2025–26 trying. Numbers on a different scale from the rest (a fraction among percentages) and far outliers are left out. Results come from different papers with different setups, so they are signals, not head-to-head comparisons. The share of papers is counted at ICML, NeurIPS, ICLR, CVPR and AAAI.

How it got here

2016: 0162017: 0172018: 0182019: 0192020: 1202021: 2212022: 2222023: 4232024: 19242025: 31252026: 6526

Most cited paper of each year

Earliest papers here

What has been tried

55 papers here report 574 measured changes (a component added, removed or swapped, compared with a baseline): helped 64%, no clear effect 7%, hurt 22%, mixed 8%. Papers mostly publish changes that helped, so "helped" is over-represented.

Ablations in recent papers

What was changedMeasured onResultEffectPaper
Use different persona-based initialization prompts for agentsMMLU · accuracy71.1 to 74.2HelpedImproving Factuality and Reasoning in Language Models through Multiagent Debate (ICML 2024 · 94 citations)
Add a one-shot example5-category content moderation benchmark · Micro-F10.65 -> 0.70HelpedLMSYS-Chat-1M: A Large-Scale Real-World LLM Conversation Dataset (ICLR 2024 · 26 citations)
Remove option IDs (ask model to pick option content via likelihood)MMLU/ARC/CSQA 0-shot · RStd (selection bias)-6.4 MMLU, -5.1 ARC, -6.2 CSQA (avg RStd change)HelpedLarge Language Models Are Not Robust Multiple Choice Selectors (ICLR 2024 · 23 citations)
Add the score rubricVicuna Bench · Pearson correlation0.355 -> 0.457HelpedPrometheus: Inducing Fine-Grained Evaluation Capability in Language Models (ICLR 2024 · 14 citations)
Add duplicate rejection to First-K scoringLong-output tasks · output set sizeNo clear effectConformal Language Modeling (ICLR 2024 · 7 citations)
Add 3-step CoTMLLM-as-a-Judge selected subset · Pearson similarity0.557 -> 0.299HurtMLLM-as-a-Judge: Assessing Multimodal LLM-as-a-Judge with Vision-Language Benchmark (ICML 2024 · 5 citations)
Double the discrimination-phase in-context examplesGSM8K, TriviaQA, MT-Bench · DG-Diff-2.8 -> -1.4; -5.5 -> -5.9; -5.9 -> -5.8; -0.1 -> -0.4; 0.0 -> 0.1; -1.6 -> -1.7; -0.13 -> -0.09; -0.51 -> -0.53; -0.17MixedSELF-[IN]CORRECT: LLMs Struggle with Discriminating Self-Generated Responses (AAAI 2025 · 4 citations)
Add BOS as the context separator rather than using no separatorWikipedia, entropy band [2.0, 3.0) · AUROC0.56 -> 0.68HelpedDistinguishing the Knowable from the Unknowable with Language Models (ICML 2024 · 3 citations)
Increase fairness penalty lambdaMovieLens-1M, iteration 3 · #Violations18 (lambda=0.1) -> 2 (lambda=0.7); 2 (lambda=0.7) at 0.9HelpedFACTER: Fairness-Aware Conformal Thresholding and Prompt Engineering for Enabling Fair LLM-Based Recommender Systems (ICML 2025 · 2 citations)
use distance-aware GeoMLE instead of vanilla MLEQA tasks (Llama-2-7B and Llama-2-13B) · AUROC0.758 -> 0.767 (CoQA, Llama-2-7B); 0.748 -> 0.775 (TriviaQA 0-shot, Llama-2-13B)HelpedCharacterizing Truthfulness in Large Language Model Generations with Local Intrinsic Dimension (ICML 2024 · 2 citations)
Use the MixEval sample-level mixture instead of benchmark-level or uniform mixtureArena Elo · correlationHelpedMixEval: Deriving Wisdom of the Crowd from LLM Benchmark Mixtures (NeurIPS 2024 · 2 citations)
Increase training examples per value from 10 or 20 to 50 or 100Social Risks and Schwartz Value; original and generalized splits · accuracyMixedCLAVE: An Adaptive Framework for Evaluating Values of LLM Generated Responses (NeurIPS 2024 · 2 citations)

What reviewers will expect

Datasets and baselines named in the 56 papers of this approach from 2025–2026 that have a full-text summary. Leaving out the common ones is a frequent review question.

Datasets

  • MMLU · 8 of 56 papers
  • TruthfulQA · 7 of 56 papers
  • GSM8K · 6 of 56 papers
  • TriviaQA · 5 of 56 papers
  • SciQ · 4 of 56 papers
  • MT-Bench · 3 of 56 papers
  • GPQA · 3 of 56 papers
  • Natural Questions · 3 of 56 papers

Baselines

  • GPT-4o · 4 of 56 papers
  • DeepSeek R1 · 3 of 56 papers
  • Semantic Entropy · 3 of 56 papers
  • P(True) · 3 of 56 papers
  • Perplexity · 2 of 56 papers
  • GPT-3.5-turbo · 2 of 56 papers
  • GPT-4-turbo · 2 of 56 papers
  • top-p sampling · 2 of 56 papers

Recent preprints

Loading recent arXiv preprints…

    Who publishes on it

    Institutions on the most papers of this approach since 2023 (of 119 papers; from OpenAlex and the papers' affiliations).

    Use it

    Download BibTeX of 29 key papersOpen the topic in the interactive map

    Get alerts. Describe your idea in scime atlas and save it (free scime account): you get a weekly email when new preprints land close to it.

    Same keyword cluster

    Elsewhere in the topic

    Benchmark numbers, ablations and baseline numbers are extracted by AI from each paper's full text and can be wrong; the paper is the authority. Data: results index of 2026-11-02, citation counts from OpenAlex (2026-10-09).

    Get the next scime Dispatch and a monthly field update

    Free. We send a confirmation link first; every email has a one-click unsubscribe. Privacy