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Optimality and Adaptivity of Deep Neural Features for Instrumental Variable Regression
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Gives minimax-optimal convergence rates for deep feature instrumental variable (DFIV) regression with sigmoid DNN features in Besov spaces, and shows separation from fixed-feature linear IV estimators when p<2.
Problem
Convergence rates and minimax optimality of data-adaptive deep-neural-feature two-stage IV (DFIV) regression for nonparametric IV, and whether it beats fixed-feature (kernel/sieve) IV estimators.
Approach
Analyzes DFIV with learnable sigmoid DNN features in both stages, using a Besov smoothness assumption on T and a link/reverse-link condition framework; proves DNN approximation for Besov functions with sigmoid nets and derives projected and full rates, plus lower bounds for linear IV estimators showing separation.
Key results
- DFIV attains the nearly minimax optimal rate n^{-(2s+2γ0)/(2s+2γ0+d_x)} (log n) in the projected metric when m=Ω(n), γ0=γ1 and T has maximal smoothness.
- Full-metric DFIV upper bound matches the NPIV lower bound n^{-2s/(2s+2γ1+d_x)} up to logs for p≥2, requiring only m=Ω(n) Stage 1 samples versus m/n→∞ for kernel IV.
- For p<2, any linear IV estimator is lower bounded by n^{-2(s-Δ)/(2(s-Δ)+2γ1+d_x)} with Δ=d_x(1/p-1/2)_+, which DFIV can beat under an extended link condition.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| use adaptive deep neural features instead of fixed features | DFIV vs fixed-feature IV · NPIV Besov with low spatial homogeneity (p<2) | full MSE rate: DFIV: n^{-\frac{2s}{2s+2\gamma_1+d_x}}; fixed-feature IV: n^{-\frac{2(s-\Delta)}{2(s-\Delta)+2\gamma_1+d_x}} | Helped |
| use Stage 1 sample size m=\Omega(n) | DFIV · NPIV, minimax-optimal projected and full rates | sample requirement: m= \Omega(n); kernel IV estimators require m/n\to\infty | Helped |
| use DFIV under the stated conditions (\gamma_0=\gamma_1 and maximal smoothness of T) | DFIV · NPIV Besov, projected error | projected MSE rate: n^{-\frac{2s+2\gamma_0}{2s+2\gamma_0+d_x}}\log n | Helped |
| use DFIV under the stated conditions (p\ge 2, \gamma_0=\gamma_1, and maximal smoothness of T) | DFIV · NPIV Besov, full error | full MSE rate: n^{-\frac{2s}{2s+2\gamma_1+d_x}}(\log n)^\frac{s}{s+\gamma_1} | Helped |
Surprising findings
- The Stage 2 rate depends only on the Stage 1 smoothness s', while the Stage 1 rate depends on smoothness of both stages.
- DFIV needs only Stage 1 sample size m=Ω(n), unlike kernel IV which requires m/n→∞ for minimax rates.
Limitations
- Smoothness assumption on T (Assumption on T mapping Besov to Besov) and domain restriction or Besov-norm regularization are needed for the rate and can be restrictive.
- Analysis is theoretical with no experiments; the lower bound for p<2 requires extended reverse link condition.
- Results for ReLU DNNs carry extra log factors and the theory is stated for sigmoid activations.
Experimental setup
Metrics: minimax convergence rate (projected and full L2 MSE)
Baselines: kernel IV sieve IV 2SLS Nadaraya-Watson IV
Builds on: DFIV 2SLS NPIV link condition B-spline Besov approximation
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