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Adaptive Manipulation for Coalitions in Knockout Tournaments

AAAI 2025 · Learning theory and algorithms › Submodular and game algorithms · approach: Opponent modeling and subgame solving · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Introduces adaptive constructive coalition manipulation in probabilistic knockout tournaments, proving PH/PSPACE/W[1]-hardness and giving FPT and polynomial-time algorithms for constant coalition size.

Problem

Determining whether a coalition of players can manipulate a probabilistic knockout tournament by adaptively throwing games so a favorite player wins with at least a threshold probability.

Approach

Coalition players decide which games to lose round by round based on the observed current seeding (adaptive strategies), rather than fixing all manipulations before the tournament; the paper analyzes the resulting complexity, including generalized (imbalanced) tournament trees.

Key results

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Builds on: Russell and Walsh coalition manipulation Mattei et al. probabilistic coalition manipulation tournament fixing problem

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