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Scaling Laws for Pre-training Agents and World Models

ICML 2025 · Multi-agent systems and games › Human-AI and goal-conditioned · approach: Embodied agent learning · 2 citations (OpenAlex)

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Shows that LLM-style power-law scaling (optimal model/data size vs compute) emerges for generative world modeling and behavior cloning on human gameplay, with coefficients strongly dependent on tokenizer compression and architecture.

Problem

Scaling in embodied AI (world modeling and behavior cloning) is poorly characterized compared to LLMs; prior work mostly shows 'bigger is better' via downstream performance rather than precise compute-optimal scaling laws on pre-training loss.

Approach

Trains families of GPT-2-style transformers on next-token prediction for world modeling and behavior cloning in the infinite-data regime, fits compute-optimal power laws (frontier and parametric fits), and shows the optimal model/data coefficients depend on tokenizer compression rate and on whether observations are tokenized or encoded as a single continuous embedding.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Increase tokens per image observation from 256 to 540 (ablation)World modeling with tokenized observations · Bleeding Edgeoptimal model-size exponent: 0.49 to 0.62Helped
Increase tokens per image observation from 256 to 540 (ablation)World modeling with tokenized observations · Bleeding Edgeoptimal dataset-size exponent: 0.51 to 0.37Hurt
Use sparse action-token supervision instead of dense supervision (ablation)Character-level language modeling · Shakespeareoptimal model-size exponent: 0.63 to 0.15Hurt
Super-class the sparse target into two classes (ablation)Character-level language modeling with sparse final-token loss · Shakespeareoptimal model-size exponent: 0.63 to 0.15Hurt
Replace tokenized image observations with one continuous CNN embedding per observation (ablation)Behavior cloning · Bleeding Edge 7 mapsoptimal model-size exponent: 0.32 to 0.66Helped
Replace tokenized image observations with one continuous CNN embedding per observation (ablation)Behavior cloning · Bleeding Edge 7 mapsoptimal dataset-size exponent: 0.68 to 0.34Hurt
Replace character-level tokenization with the more compressed GPT-2 tokenizer (ablation)Language modeling · BookCorpusoptimal model-size exponent: 0.66 to 0.44Hurt
Increase the number of tokens per observation (ablation)World modeling with RT-1 · RT-1optimal model-size exponentHelped
Train an 894M-parameter model beyond the compute range used to fit scaling lawsWM-Token-256 · Bleeding Edge Sky Gardenagreement with predicted compute-optimal loss, model size, and training tokens: 894M; 1.58 × 10^21 FLOPSHelped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: Bleeding Edge 7 maps dataset (human gameplay) Sky Garden dataset (Bleeding Edge single map) RT-1 robotics dataset Shakespeare character dataset BookCorpus

Metrics: pre-training cross-entropy loss frontier fit coefficients N_optimal and D_optimal exponents parametric fit coefficients FVD LPIPS

Baselines: Chinchilla parametric fit Kaplan-style LLM coefficients VPT-style BC-CNN

Builds on: Kaplan et al. scaling laws Chinchilla compute-optimal scaling Gato VPT

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