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Wavelet Canonical Coherence for Nonstationary Signals

NeurIPS 2025 · Time series › Long-term forecasting · approach: Graph-based multivariate forecasting · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes scale-specific wavelet canonical coherence (WaveCanCoh), extending canonical coherence to nonstationary two-group multivariate series via the multivariate locally stationary wavelet model, and applies it to hippocampal LFP in correct vs incorrect memory decisions.

Problem

Classical canonical coherence between two groups of multivariate time series assumes stationarity and lacks time-localization, so it cannot capture transient, scale-specific cross-group interactions in nonstationary signals such as neural LFP.

Approach

Defines a time- and scale-localized canonical coherence from the local wavelet spectral matrix of the fused two-group process, estimated by smoothed periodogram eigen-decomposition, with per-channel canonical vectors giving channel contributions, plus a causal lagged variant and a window-based permutation test.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use WaveCanCoh instead of LSP for localized time-frequency coherence analysisLFP correct vs incorrect trials · LFP, j=4–6 after stimulus onsetpermutation-test sensitivity to trial-condition differences: WaveCanCoh: 0.023 (0.001**) vs LSP: 0.010 (0.056*) at j=4, t=0.5s; 0.334 (0.002**) vs 0.008 (0.999) at j=5, t=0.5s; 0.03Helped
Compare correct and incorrect trials before stimulus onsetWaveCanCoh · LFP, t=-1.0s and -0.5s across scales j=3–7significant condition differences: WaveCanCoh p-values: 0.786, 0.704, 0.180, 0.506, 0.977, 0.999, 0.239, 0.111, 0.999, 0.640No clear effect
Compare correct and incorrect trials after stimulus onsetWaveCanCoh · LFP, t=0.5s and 1.0s across scales j=3–7significant condition differences: j=4, t=0.5: 0.023 (0.001**); j=5, t=0.5: 0.334 (0.002**); j=6, t=0.5: 0.039 (0.001**); j=6, t=1.0: 0.002 (0.025**); otheMixed
Use WaveCanCoh rather than LSP on the nonstationary AR(2) mixtureTime-varying canonical coherence estimation · AR(2) mixture simulation, first and second halvestracking transient coherence changesHelped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: simulated MvLSW process (P=6, Q=4, T=1024) simulated mixture of AR(2) processes (500 replicates) rat hippocampal LFP sequence memory task (22-electrode CA1 recordings, subject Mitt, 40 correct and 32 incorrect trials)

Benchmarks: simulated MvLSW process coherence recovery simulated AR(2) mixture vs LSP LFP correct vs incorrect trial permutation test

Metrics: estimated coherence vs true coherence 95% Wald confidence intervals median difference in WaveCanCoh permutation p-values

Baselines: LSP (Fourier-based time-varying canonical coherence via STFT)

Builds on: multivariate locally stationary wavelet model canonical coherence (Brillinger) local wavelet spectrum estimation

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