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Learning Time-Varying Multi-Region Brain Communications via Scalable Markovian Gaussian Processes
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Proposes the Adaptive Delay Model (ADM), a Markovian Gaussian Process / state-space model with continuously time-varying inter-region temporal delays, fit with a parallel-scan Kalman EM for scalable analysis of multi-region spike trains.
Problem
Existing multi-region communication models either ignore temporal delays or assume static or discretely changing delays, and GP-based delay models scale poorly (O(T^3)) or sequentially (O(T)) for long recordings.
Approach
Establishes a universal connection between any temporally stationary GP kernel and a Markovian SSM (via regression-derived transition matrices), letting the MOSE kernel's delay parameter vary over time, and uses a parallel-scan Kalman EM for O(log T) time inference.
Key results
- On V1-V2 spike trains, ADM achieves higher test log-likelihood than MRM-GP and DLAG under the same latent settings, attributed to continuously time-varying delays.
- On five-region Neuropixels data, ADM achieves better test log-likelihood than mDLAG with m_a=3, m_w=1, P=5.
- Parallel scan Kalman EM is significantly faster than sequential EM as T grows (synthetic up to T=600).
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Approximate the GP with an SSM | GP regression with Exp kernel · GP regression, Exp | Reg-MSE / 10^-1: 5.7 ± 0.1 -> 5.9 ± 0.1 | Hurt |
| Approximate the GP with an SSM | GP regression with Matern 3/2 kernel · GP regression, Matern 3/2 | Reg-MSE / 10^-1: 5.9 ± 0.2 -> 6.2 ± 0.1 | Hurt |
| Approximate the GP with an SSM | GP regression with SE kernel · GP regression, SE | Reg-MSE / 10^-1: 3.1 ± 0.1 -> 3.3 ± 0.1 | Hurt |
| Approximate the GP with an SSM | GP regression with RQ kernel · GP regression, RQ | Reg-MSE / 10^-1: 3.0 ± 0.1 -> 3.4 ± 0.1 | Hurt |
| Approximate the GP with an SSM | GP regression with SM kernel · GP regression, SM | Reg-MSE / 10^-1: 3.0 ± 0.2 -> 3.3 ± 0.2 | Hurt |
| Approximate the GP with an SSM | GP regression with MOSE kernel · GP regression, MOSE | Reg-MSE / 10^-1: 7.4 ± 0.02 -> 7.6 ± 0.04 | Hurt |
| Approximate the GP with an SSM | GP regression with MOSM kernel · GP regression, MOSM | Reg-MSE / 10^-1: 7.5 ± 0.02 -> 7.9 ± 0.08 | Hurt |
| Approximate the GP with an SSM | GP regression with CSM kernel · GP regression, CSM | Reg-MSE / 10^-1: 8.2 ± 0.05 -> 7.7 ± 0.09 | Helped |
| Approximate the GP with an SSM | GP regression with LMC kernel · GP regression, LMC | Reg-MSE / 10^-1: 0.66 ± 0.02 -> 0.72 ± 0.02 | Hurt |
| Use P=1 instead of P≥2 (ablation) | ADM · Synthetic Data | test log-likelihood | Hurt |
| Vary SSM order P across 2–5 (ablation) | ADM · Synthetic Data | test log-likelihood | No clear effect |
| Vary SSM order P (ablation) | ADM · Two Brain Regions (V1–V2) | validation log-likelihood | Mixed |
Surprising findings
- Their GP-SSM regression comparison shows the SSM approximation has MSE comparable to the exact GP across kernels.
Limitations
- Cubic time complexity in number of regions N and SSM order P.
- Linear-Gaussian observation model; assumes linear/Gaussian latent-to-observation relationship.
Experimental setup
Datasets: Synthetic data V1-V2 monkey spike trains (session 106r001p26) Allen Institute Visual Coding Neuropixels session 750749662
Benchmarks: V1-V2 spike trains Allen Neuropixels five-region spike trains synthetic delay recovery
Metrics: test log-likelihood validation log-likelihood runtime MSE and Pearson correlation of delays
Baselines: DLAG mDLAG MRM-GP mp-srSLDS
Builds on: DLAG mDLAG MRM-GP Markovian Gaussian Processes parallel scan Kalman filter and smoother
Closest papers by meaning
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