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Hephaestus: Mixture Generative Modeling with Energy Guidance for Large-scale QoS Degradation

NeurIPS 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Molecules and proteins · approach: Prediction-powered and conformal inference · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes Hephaestus, a Forge-Morph-Refine generative framework (PPS approximation with SPAGAN estimator, energy-guided mixture of conditional VAEs, and latent-space RL) for the nonlinear Quality of Service Degradation problem on networks.

Problem

Quality of Service Degradation (QoSD): an adversary increases edge weights under budget constraints to push shortest paths of critical source-target pairs above a threshold; existing ML methods only handle linear, small-scale variants and classical methods rely on combinatorial optimization.

Approach

Combines a shortest-path-attention-guided approximation (PPS) to generate a feasible solution dataset, an energy-based model that guides a mixture of conditional VAEs with dynamically added experts, and an RL agent that refines latent codes using a differentiable feasibility-and-cost reward, handling nonlinear edge-cost functions.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use Hephaestus instead of DIFFILOQoSD solutions on Skitter at threshold 260% · Skitter 260%total cost: 28.1%Helped
Use Hephaestus instead of DIFFILOQoSD solutions on RoadCA at threshold 260% · RoadCA 260%total cost: 16.8%Helped
Use Hephaestus instead of DIFFILOQoSD solutions on Gnutella at threshold 260% · Gnutella 260%total cost: 4.5%Helped
Use Hephaestus instead of DIFFILOQoSD solutions on Gnutella at threshold 140% · Gnutella 140%total cost: 7 unitsHurt
Add more experts to the Mix-CVAE (ablation)Mix-CVAE guided by EBM on the synthetic dataset · Synthetic maximum-density graphdistribution alignment: from 3 to 9Helped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: Email Gnutella RoadCA Skitter synthetic Erdős–Rényi graphs

Benchmarks: Email Gnutella RoadCA Skitter synthetic Erdős–Rényi (n=1024)

Metrics: total perturbation budget (lower is better)

Baselines: Adaptive Trading Iterative Greedy Sampling Algorithm DiffILO Predict-and-Search L-MILPOPT Exact Solver (Gurobi)

Builds on: CVAE energy-based models Predict-and-Search DiffILO Gurobi

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