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MESS+: Dynamically Learned Inference-Time LLM Routing in Model Zoos with Service Level Guarantees
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Proposes MESS+, an online Lyapunov virtual-queue routing algorithm that learns per-model request satisfaction probabilities with a lightweight ModernBERT predictor to minimize LLM inference energy while meeting an SLA satisfaction rate.
Problem
Routing requests across an LLM model zoo to minimize operating cost while guaranteeing a minimum long-run request satisfaction rate (SLA), without prior knowledge of which model satisfies each request.
Approach
Combines a Lyapunov drift-plus-penalty virtual queue tracking SLA undershoot with an online-trained satisfaction predictor; per-request routing solves a small optimization over predicted satisfaction and energy cost, with epsilon-style exploration (probability c/t^{1/4}) that queries all models to label satisfaction.
Key results
- Averaged across 8 benchmarks, MESS+ achieves 1.08 MJ cost at 68.44% satisfaction (alpha 66%), versus 2.11 MJ for RouterDC and 2.04 MJ for RouteLLM, roughly 2x cheaper while satisfying SLA.
- On ARC Challenge (alpha 50%), MESS+ costs 0.83 MJ vs 2.09 MJ for RouterDC with 53.64% satisfaction.
- With a larger Qwen zoo (32B/7B/1.5B/0.5B), MESS+ costs 0.84 MJ vs 1.13 MJ for RouterDC at 67.55% satisfaction (alpha 67%), up to 1.6x cheaper than baselines.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Use MESS+ routing instead of adaptive routing baselines | Llama model zoo · Avg. across all Benchmarks | operating cost (MJ): 2.04 -> 1.08; 2.11 -> 1.08 | Helped |
| Use MESS+ routing instead of Educated Guessing | Llama model zoo · Avg. across all Benchmarks | operating cost (MJ): 1.28 -> 1.08 | Helped |
| Use MESS+ routing instead of RouterDC | Qwen model zoo · Mean across larger Qwen zoo | operating cost: 1.13 -> 0.84 | Helped |
| Reduce feedback density from 100% to 20% (ablation) | MESS+ · ARC Challenge | operating cost (MJ): 0.83 -> 0.79 | Helped |
| Reduce feedback density from 100% to 20% (ablation) | MESS+ · ARC Easy | operating cost (MJ): 1.74 -> 1.69 | Helped |
| Reduce feedback density from 100% to 20% (ablation) | MESS+ · BoolQ | request satisfaction (%): 20.34 -> 20.66 | No clear effect |
| Reduce feedback density from 100% to 20% (ablation) | MESS+ · PiQA | request satisfaction (%): 78.91 -> 78.48 | No clear effect |
| Reduce feedback density from 100% to 20% (ablation) | MESS+ · Winogrande | request satisfaction (%): 70.36 -> 70.97 | No clear effect |
| Use sparse user feedback (20%) instead of full feedback (ablation) | MESS+ · Eight benchmarks | operating cost (MJ): 1.08 -> 1.05 | Helped |
Surprising findings
- Educated guessing with prior knowledge still undershoots the SLA on some benchmarks (e.g., ARC Easy 74.00% vs alpha 75%), showing that fixed random routing is not reliably SLA-compliant.
- Routing overhead of the predictor is small (4.65% of average LLM call cost), but RouteLLM overshoots alpha by routing most requests to the 70B model, raising cost.
Limitations
- Requires user satisfaction feedback for every request and exploration that queries all models, which may be impractical.
- Assumes i.i.d. requests and cost for the theory; experiments show empirical but not proven robustness to non-i.i.d. settings.
- Evaluated only on multiple-choice benchmarks with binary correctness labels and small zoos (3 or 4 models).
Experimental setup
Datasets: ARC Challenge ARC Easy BoolQ LogiQA PiQA SciQ SocialIQA Winogrande
Benchmarks: ARC Challenge ARC Easy Winogrande BoolQ LogiQA PiQA SciQ SocialIQA
Metrics: operating cost (MJ energy per request) request satisfaction rate (%) model call ratio
Baselines: Llama 3.2 1B only Llama 3.1 8B only Llama 3.3 70B only Educated Guessing RouteLLM RouterDC
Builds on: RouteLLM RouterDC Lyapunov drift-plus-penalty
Closest papers by meaning
- BEST-Route: Adaptive LLM Routing with Test-Time Optimal Compute (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.89)
- TokenRouter: Efficient Serving System for Token-Level LLM Routing (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.89)
- Hybrid LLM: Cost-Efficient and Quality-Aware Query Routing (ICLR 2024 · similarity 0.89)
- Dr.LLM: Dynamic Layer Routing in LLMs (ICLR 2026 · similarity 0.89)
- Efficient LLM Scheduling by Learning to Rank (NeurIPS 2024 · similarity 0.89)
- RACER: Risk-Aware Calibrated Efficient Routing for Large Language Models (ICML 2026 · similarity 0.88)
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