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Adjust Pearson's $r$ to Measure Arbitrary Monotone Dependence

NeurIPS 2024 · Learning theory and algorithms › Kernels and regression theory · approach: Statistical perspectives on generalization · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes rearrangement correlation, a tighter-bound adjustment of Pearson's r derived from a sharpened Cauchy-Schwarz inequality via rearrangement theorems, that measures arbitrary monotone dependence and reduces to r in linear cases.

Problem

Pearson's r is widely thought to capture only linear dependence, and existing nonlinear measures (Spearman, Kendall, HSIC, dCor, MIC, Chatterjee's xi) do not use the Pearson/covariance framework; the paper asks whether Pearson-style scaled covariance can accurately measure nonlinear monotone depende

Approach

Scaling covariance by a tighter bound (the rearranged covariance |cov(X↑, Y↕)| instead of sqrt(var X var Y)) from a new inequality sharper than Cauchy-Schwarz enlarges the capture range from linear to arbitrary monotone dependence, so r# = cov / |cov(X↑,Y↕)| reverts to Pearson's r in linear cases.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Replace Pearson's r with Rearrangement CorrelationDependence-strength measurement · 50 simulated monotone scenariosMAE: 0.150 -> 0.060Helped
Replace Pearson's r with Rearrangement CorrelationDependence-strength measurement · 5 NIST real-life monotone scenariosMAE: 0.0916 -> 0.00141Helped
Use Rearrangement Correlation instead of Chatterjee's xiDependence-strength measurement · 16 non-monotone scenariosMAE: 0.141 -> 0.418Hurt
Use Rearrangement Correlation instead of Pearson's rDependence-strength measurement · 16 non-monotone scenariosMAE: 0.437 -> 0.418Helped

Surprising findings

Experimental setup

Datasets: NIST nonlinear regression datasets (Chwirut1, Hahn1, Rat43, Roszman1, Thurber)

Benchmarks: 50 simulated monotone scenarios NIST real-life monotone scenarios (5) 16 non-monotone scenarios

Metrics: mean absolute error (MAE) trueness precision

Baselines: Pearson's r Spearman's rho Kendall's tau HSIC distance correlation MIC Chatterjee's xi Additivity coefficient (r+)

Builds on: Pearson correlation Cauchy-Schwarz inequality rearrangement inequality Concordance correlation coefficient Additivity coefficient

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