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Learning Joint Interventional Effects from Single-Variable Interventions in Additive Models

ICML 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Causal discovery · approach: Causal effect identification · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Shows that joint interventional effects of multiple actions can be identified from observational and single-variable intervention data under a nonlinear additive outcome mechanism with pairwise confounding, and proposes a practical estimator validated on synthetic SCMs.

Problem

Estimating the effect of joint interventions on multiple action variables when only observational data and single-variable interventional data are available, with unobserved confounders between actions and outcome.

Approach

Assume the outcome mechanism is additive over per-action nonlinear functions of each action and its own confounder; then the joint interventional mean decomposes into terms learnable from observational and single-intervention regressions, using a single estimator with indicator variables R_k marking which actions were intervened on.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use observational and single-intervention data to estimate joint-intervention effects instead of training directly on joint-intervention dataIntervention Generalization · Synthetic joint-intervention test dataRMSENo clear effect
Use Intervention Generalization instead of an observational-only estimatorJoint-intervention effect estimation · Synthetic joint-intervention test dataRMSEHelped
Use Intervention Generalization instead of an estimator trained on pooled observational and single-intervention dataJoint-intervention effect estimation · Synthetic joint-intervention test dataRMSEHelped
Estimate from observational and single-intervention data rather than directly training on joint-intervention dataIntervention Generalization · Synthetic joint-intervention test dataSample efficiency: over an order of magnitude more dataHurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: synthetic observational data synthetic single-intervention data synthetic joint-intervention data

Benchmarks: synthetic SCMs with 5 actions

Metrics: root mean squared error standard error of the mean

Baselines: Joint-interventional topline estimator Pooled observational and single-intervention estimator Observational-only estimator

Builds on: Structural causal models Generalized additive models Neural additive models

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