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Identifying Representations for Intervention Extrapolation

ICLR 2024 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Causal discovery · approach: Causal representation identifiability · 2 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes Rep4Ex, an identifiable representation learning method (autoencoder with a linear-invariance MMR regularizer) plus control-function regression that enables nonlinear extrapolation of intervention effects on exogenous actions outside the training support.

Problem

Predicting the effect of interventions on exogenous action variables that lie outside the training support, when observed features are a nonlinear mixing of latent predictors and the action-to-latent effect is linear.

Approach

Identify the unmixing function up to an affine transformation using a linear invariance constraint (residuals of regressing the encoder output on A have zero conditional mean given A), enforced via a maximum moment restriction regularizer on an autoencoder; then apply control-function additive regression to extrapolate E[Y | do(A=a*)].

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Enforce linear invariance with MMR regularization in the autoencoderAutoencoder representation learning · Synthetic unmixing experimentsR-squaredHelped
Use a vanilla autoencoder without MMR regularizationAutoencoder representation learning · Synthetic unmixing experimentsR-squaredHurt
Use a variational autoencoder instead of the MMR-regularized autoencoderAutoencoder representation learning · Synthetic unmixing experimentsR-squaredHurt
Use Rep4Ex-CF instead of MLP regression on AIntervention extrapolation · One-dimensional Aextrapolation performanceHelped
Increase the training support parameter γRep4Ex-CF · One-dimensional Aextrapolation performanceHelped
Use Rep4Ex-CF instead of MLP regression on AIntervention extrapolation · Multi-dimensional Amean squared errorHelped
Learn the representation rather than use the true latent predictorsRep4Ex-CF · Multi-dimensional Amean squared errorNo clear effect

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: synthetic data from structural causal models

Benchmarks: synthetic SCM experiments

Metrics: R-squared mean squared error

Baselines: AE-Vanilla VAE MLP Rep4Ex-CF-Oracle AE-MMR-Oracle

Builds on: maximum moment restriction control function approach nonlinear ICA instrumental variables

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