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Statistical Inference and A/B Testing for First-Price Pacing Equilibria

ICML 2023 · Learning theory and algorithms › Submodular and game algorithms · approach: Learned auction design · 6 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Estimate the limit-market revenue with the observed FPPE revenue computed on a finite item sample (CLT-based confidence interval) instead of the full continuumfirst-price pacing equilibrium revenue estimation · simulated FPPE marketsempirical coverage of revenue confidence intervalNo clear effect
Choose the Hessian numerical-difference smoothing parameter as t^{-d} with d in (0.3, 0.5) rather than other choices (ablation)Hessian estimator for FPPE pacing multipliers · simulated FPPE marketsaccuracy of Hessian estimationMixed
Use the projected Hessian (restricting to buyers with pacing multiplier below 1) for constrained pacing estimation, giving zero asymptotic variance for buyers whose constraint bindspacing multiplier estimation for buyers with beta=1 · simulated FPPE marketsconvergence rate of pacing multiplier estimatesHelped
Relax the sufficient condition: revenue CLT still holds when no buyer is paced (I empty), where revenue variance is zerorevenue estimation in FPPE · theoryasymptotic variance of revenueNo clear effect

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