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No-Regret and Incentive-Compatible Online Learning

ICML 2020 · Bandits and online learning › Online convex optimization and games · approach: Online decision-making with feedback structure · 3 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use WSU instead of MWUFull-information online learning with strategic experts · FiveThirtyEight NFL datasetsregretNo clear effect
Use WSU-Aggr instead of selecting a single expert (ablation)WSU · FiveThirtyEight NFL datasetsregretNo clear effect
Use Hedge instead of WSUFull-information online learning with strategic experts · FiveThirtyEight NFL datasetsregretHelped
Use WSU-UX instead of EXP3Partial-information online learning · FiveThirtyEight NFL datasetsregretHurt
Use ELF-X instead of WSUFull-information online learning · FiveThirtyEight NFL datasetsregretHurt
Use ELF-X-Aggr instead of WSU-Aggr (ablation)Full-information online learning · FiveThirtyEight NFL datasetsregretHurt
Add uniform exploration to WSU-style updatesPartial-information online learning · FiveThirtyEight NFL datasetsregretHelped
Use ELF-X instead of WSU during the later half after a shift in which experts are bestFull-information online learning · Monte Carlo simulation, second half of the horizonregretMixed
Add randomized selection of event winners rather than using ELF's winner probabilitiesELF-X · Worst-case online learningregretHelped
Report truthfully at every round rather than strategically misreportingWSU · Forward-looking expertsincentive compatibility: 0.5+0.1125η -0.00188325η^2 -> 0.5+0.112499944η-0.0018719238η^3Hurt
Replace WSU's update with the standard MWU updateOnline learning with strategic experts · Full informationincentive compatibilityHurt

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