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PAC Confidence Sets for Deep Neural Networks via Calibrated Prediction

ICLR 2020 · Learning theory and algorithms › Prediction and decision losses · approach: Probabilistic calibration · 21 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Add temperature scaling to the probability forecaster (ablation)ResNet PAC confidence sets · ImageNetmaximum confidence set sizeHelped
Use the direct generalization bound instead of the VC bound (ablation)PAC confidence sets · ImageNetconfidence set sizeHelped
Add temperature scaling to the probability forecaster (ablation)visual tracking PAC confidence sets · Visual object tracking benchmarkconfidence set sizeHelped
Use the direct generalization bound instead of the VC bound (ablation)visual tracking PAC confidence sets · Visual object tracking benchmarkconfidence set sizeHelped
Add temperature scaling to the probability forecaster (ablation)half-cheetah trajectory confidence sets · Half-cheetahconfidence set sizeHelped
Accumulate predicted variances over time (ablation)half-cheetah trajectory confidence sets · Half-cheetahconfidence set sizeHelped
Use the direct generalization bound instead of the VC bound (ablation)half-cheetah trajectory confidence sets · Half-cheetahconfidence set sizeHelped

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