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A Minimal Interpretable Architecture for Zero-Shot Reconstruction of Dynamical Systems
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Reduces the DynaMix zero-shot dynamical-systems reconstruction foundation model to a two-parameter nearest-neighbor affine map (DynaBase), showing competitive zero-shot reconstruction and linking it to context parroting.
Problem
Zero-shot dynamical systems reconstruction (DSR) foundation models such as DynaMix achieve strong out-of-domain generalization, but their mechanisms and essential architectural requirements are opaque.
Approach
Iteratively simplify DynaMix into a recursive affine nearest-neighbor map; impose O(N) rotation/reflection equivariance, translation equivariance, and a self-consistency condition to get a 2-parameter (later 1-parameter) map, DynaBase, that blends the current state with the nearest context point and its successor.
Key results
- DynaBase with DSR-optimized alpha achieves better long-term D_stsp than the ahead-prediction-trained variant, with comparable performance to custom-trained DSR baselines (zero-shot alpha=1.006 performs comparably).
- Linear-regression-trained DynaBase gives lower MASE at n=10 (0.13) and n=50 (0.51) than DSR-trained variants, while DSR-trained alpha concentrates near 1.01 with Lyapunov exponent correlation r≈0.90 vs ≈0.18 for least squares.
- Context parroting is recovered exactly at alpha=0 on a delay-embedded context, which cannot produce chaos.
Surprising findings
- A two-parameter nearest-neighbor affine map with a single fixed alpha (~1.006) performs comparably to custom-trained DSR models and to DynaMix in zero-shot mode.
- Least-squares one-step training yields alpha<1 and fails to capture chaos (Lyapunov correlation ~0.18), whereas DSR-objective training recovers chaotic dynamics.
Limitations
- Assumptions of the reduction limit the diversity of dynamical systems and vector field topologies that can be captured.
- Geometric accuracy of the vector field is limited, with visible mismatch in reconstructions.
- Noise effects were only examined qualitatively; the paper is currently more a research tool than a practical forecaster.
Experimental setup
Datasets: 54 test 3d dynamical systems from prior DSR benchmark 30 chaotic DS training set Lorenz-63 Selkov system chaotic laser system
Benchmarks: 54 test DS DSR benchmark (D_stsp, D_H, MASE)
Metrics: D_stsp D_H (Hellinger distance of power spectra) MASE (n=10) Lyapunov exponent correlation
Baselines: DynaMix Chronos-T5-base Chronos-2 context parroting AL-RNN Neural ODE reservoir computer
Builds on: DynaMix AL-RNN context parroting Chronos
Closest papers by meaning
- True Zero-Shot Inference of Dynamical Systems Preserving Long-Term Statistics (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.92)
- Learning Interpretable Hierarchical Dynamical Systems Models from Time Series Data (ICLR 2025 · similarity 0.89)
- Out-of-Domain Generalization in Dynamical Systems Reconstruction (ICML 2024 · similarity 0.89)
- Zero-shot forecasting of chaotic systems (ICLR 2025 · similarity 0.89)
- Almost-Linear RNNs Yield Highly Interpretable Symbolic Codes in Dynamical Systems Reconstruction (NeurIPS 2024 · similarity 0.89)
- The Dynamic-Probabilistic Consistency Gap in Chaotic Surrogate Modeling (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.87)
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