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Out-of-Domain Generalization in Dynamical Systems Reconstruction

ICML 2024 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Dynamical systems · approach: Switching and law-discovery dynamics · 2 citations (OpenAlex)

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Formal framework for out-of-domain generalization in dynamical systems reconstruction, showing that black-box DSR models trained on one basin of attraction fail to recover other basins while SINDy with the correct library succeeds.

Problem

Dynamical systems reconstruction (DSR) models trained on time series from a limited portion of state space often fail to capture coexisting attractors (multistability) in unobserved basins, and there is no formal treatment of out-of-domain generalization in DSR.

Approach

Frames multistable basins of attraction as distinct OOD domains, defines statistical (sliced Wasserstein occupation-measure) and topological (Lyapunov-based) generalization errors, proves that black-box universal approximators cannot be strictly learnable from single-basin data while library-based SINDy can, and diagnoses causes via initialization simplicity bias and saddle-point/sharp-minimum tra

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
train black-box DSR models using trajectories from only one basinRC, N-ODE, and shPLRNN · Multistable Duffing and Lorenz-like systemsOOD generalization errorHurt
add training trajectories from both basinsRC, N-ODE, and shPLRNN · Duffing systemstatistical error: RC \approx 2.7\cdot 10^{-3}, N-ODE \approx 2.1 \cdot 10^{-3}, shPLRNN \approx 1.4\cdot 10^{-3}Helped
add training trajectories from both basinsRC, N-ODE, and shPLRNN · Multistable Lorenz-like systemstatistical error: ≈ 0.131 for RC, ≈ 0.133 for N-ODE and ≈ 0.064 for the shPLRNNHelped
use SINDy with the correct function librarySINDy · Multistable systemsOOD generalizationHelped
omit the third-order term present in the Duffing equations from the SINDy library (ablation)SINDy · Duffing systemOOD generalizationHurt
retrain a generalizing model using trajectories from only one of the two basinsGeneralizing DSR models · Duffing system, unobserved basinstatistical error: about 20-fold increaseHurt
increase parameter initialization gain (ablation)shPLRNN · Dynamical complexity at initializationmean Shannon entropyHelped
increase parameter initialization gain (ablation)shPLRNN trained with SGD · Training feasibilitytrainabilityHurt
train on trajectories from both basins instead of one basinshPLRNN · Duffing system, minimum radiusminimum radiusHurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: Duffing oscillator simulations multistable Lorenz-like system simulations

Benchmarks: Duffing system multistable Lorenz-like system

Metrics: sliced Wasserstein-1 statistical error topological generalization error based on Lyapunov exponents MSE

Baselines: SINDy shPLRNN reservoir computing (echo state network) Neural ODE

Builds on: SINDy generalized teacher forcing shallow PLRNN Neural ODE reservoir computing

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