Research map / Learning theory and algorithms / Combinatorial and search optimization
An Efficient Algorithm for Thresholding Monte Carlo Tree Search
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Proposes RD-Tracking-TMCTS, a ratio-based D-Tracking Track-and-Stop algorithm for thresholding MCTS that is asymptotically optimal and runs in O(D log K) per round.
Problem
Thresholding Monte Carlo Tree Search: decide whether the root value of a MIN/MAX tree with stochastic leaf rewards is at least a threshold θ, with δ-correctness and minimal expected sample complexity.
Approach
Replace D-Tracking's arg max of t·w − N with a ratio criterion arg max w/N, avoiding oversampling after convergence, and exploit the recursive tree structure of the optimal allocation to update the sampling choice along a single root-to-leaf path in logarithmic time.
Key results
- RD-Tracking-TMCTS converges to the asymptotic lower bound significantly faster than D-Tracking, C-Tracking, UGapE-MCTS, LUCB-micro and round-robin on 3-ary trees of depths 2-5.
- The ratio-based draw reduces empirical sample complexity by several factors compared with the original D-Tracking rule.
- No incorrect outputs were observed in 1000 trials per setting across delta from 1e-5 to 1e-60.
Surprising findings
- The original D-Tracking can keep oversampling a leaf well beyond its optimal allocation even after the empirical means have converged.
Limitations
- Theoretical guarantees rely on the assumption that the optimal weight vector is unique and that V_{s0}(mu) differs from theta.
- The O(D log K) time bound holds for balanced trees where leaves are Theta(K^D).
- Experiments are limited to synthetic complete 3-ary trees with a fixed threshold setting.
Experimental setup
Benchmarks: randomly generated complete 3-ary trees of depth 2-5
Metrics: ratio of average stopping time to asymptotic lower bound empirical correctness rate
Baselines: D-Tracking C-Tracking UGapE-MCTS LUCB-micro round-robin
Builds on: Track-and-Stop D-Tracking GLR stopping rule UGapE LUCB
Closest papers by meaning
- Monte-Carlo Tree Search by Best Arm Identification (NeurIPS 2017 · similarity 0.91)
- Accelerating Monte Carlo Tree Search with Probability Tree State Abstraction (NeurIPS 2023 · similarity 0.89)
- Monte-Carlo Tree Search with Uncertainty Propagation via Optimal Transport (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.87)
- $\epsilon$-Good Action Identification in Fixed-Budget Monte Carlo Tree Search (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.87)
- Monte Carlo Tree Search in the Presence of Transition Uncertainty (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.85)
- Sample-and-Bound for Non-convex Optimization (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.85)
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