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Analyzing Neural Scaling Laws in Two-Layer Networks with Power-Law Data Spectra
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Uses statistical-mechanics ODEs for one-pass SGD in a two-layer student-teacher committee machine with power-law data covariance spectra, deriving generalization-error scaling in time, feature number, and plateau length for linear and erf activations.
Problem
Theoretical understanding of neural scaling laws (power-law generalization error vs. training time, data/feature count) is limited; prior analyses mostly used random feature or linear models with isotropic or simple data.
Approach
Extends the statistical-mechanics online-learning hierarchy of ODEs for two-layer networks trained with one-pass SGD to power-law covariance spectra with L distinct eigenvalues, closing the hierarchy via Cayley-Hamilton; derives power-law decay of error in time, plateau length dependence on L, and a transition from exponential to power-law convergence.
Key results
- For linear activation, generalization error decays as alpha^(-beta/(1+beta)) within a power-law time window, matching simulations.
- Plateau escape time scales roughly as M^2/(eta L) for large M and L in the erf committee machine.
- Asymptotic error with trainable features N_l scales as 1/N_l^beta when L^beta > N_l^beta; empirical CIFAR-5m spectrum gives beta approx 0.3.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Increase the number of distinct covariance eigenvalues | Nonlinear student-teacher network with a power-law spectrum · Power-law spectrum | plateau length | Hurt |
| Increase the number of distinct covariance eigenvalues | Student-teacher network with a power-law spectrum · Power-law spectrum | asymptotic convergence speed | Hurt |
| Train more input features (increase N_l) | Linear student-teacher network · Power-law spectrum | asymptotic generalization error: ε_{g,\mathrm{asymp}} \sim \frac{1}{N_l^\beta} | Helped |
| Increase the number of distinct eigenvalues L | Nonlinear student-teacher network in the large-M, large-L regime · Power-law spectrum | plateau escape time: τ_{\mathrm{esc}} \sim \frac{M^2}{\eta L} | Helped |
| Use the exact solution instead of the small learning rate approximation | Linear student-teacher network · Power-law spectrum | generalization error | Hurt |
| Use a power-law covariance spectrum rather than isotropic input correlations | Student-teacher network · Power-law spectrum | convergence regime | Mixed |
Surprising findings
- Plateau length shortens and can disappear as the number of distinct eigenvalues L increases.
Limitations
- Analysis restricted to small learning rate (O(eta)) approximations and a heuristic plateau-length formula.
- Results for the plateau are derived for a simplified teacher-teacher configuration with equal diagonal and off-diagonal entries.
- Thermodynamic limit N to infinity with fixed ratio alpha; finite-size effects only checked numerically.
Experimental setup
Datasets: CIFAR-5m
Benchmarks: CIFAR-5m
Metrics: generalization error
Builds on: Saad and Solla online learning Gaussian equivalence property Bordelon et al. random feature scaling
Closest papers by meaning
- A Dynamical Model of Neural Scaling Laws (ICML 2024 · similarity 0.92)
- Scaling Laws in Linear Regression: Compute, Parameters, and Data (NeurIPS 2024 · similarity 0.91)
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- Deep Linear Network Training Dynamics from Random Initialization: Data, Width, Depth, and Hyperparameter Transfer (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.90)
- Sharp feature-learning transitions and Bayes-optimal neural scaling laws in extensive-width networks (NeurIPS 2026 · similarity 0.89)
- Investigating the Overlooked Hessian Structure: From CNNs to LLMs (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.89)
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