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Utility Engineering: Analyzing and Controlling Emergent Value Systems in AIs

NeurIPS 2025 · Large language models › AI and society · approach: Social-science view of AI evaluation · 9 citations (OpenAlex)

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Shows that LLM preferences become increasingly coherent (transitive, complete, utility-fitting) with scale, proposes Utility Engineering for analyzing and controlling emergent AI value systems, and demonstrates SFT-based utility control aligning Llama-3.1-8B to a simulated citizen assembly.

Problem

Whether current LLMs have meaningful, coherent internal value systems (utilities) and how to analyze and control them, given that prior work treats LLM preferences as isolated quiz answers or biases.

Approach

Elicit forced-choice preferences over 500 textual outcomes from many LLMs, fit nonparametric Thurstonian utility models, and test structural coherence (completeness, transitivity, expected utility, instrumentality) with scale; then rewrite utilities via SFT on soft preference targets from a simulated citizen assembly.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
SFT to match simulated citizen assembly preferencesLlama-3.1-8B-Instruct · Citizen assembly preferences test setaccuracy: 73.2% -> 90.6%Helped
SFT to match simulated citizen assembly preferencesLlama-3.1-8B-Instruct · Open-ended utility-maximization questionsutility maximization score: 36.6% -> 30.0%Hurt
Scale up the LLMLLMs · Pairwise preference comparisonsprobability of preference cycles: below 1%Helped
Scale up the LLMLLMs · Fitted Thurstonian utilitiestest accuracyHelped
Scale up the LLMLLMs · Standard lotteriesmean absolute errorHelped
Scale up the LLMLLMs · Implicit lotteriesdiscrepancy from expected utilityHelped
Replace realistic transition probabilities with unrealistic probabilities (ablation)LLM utilities in two-step Markov processes · Instrumentality analysisinstrumentality lossHurt
Increase model scaleLLMs · Free-form decisionsutility maximization score: exceeding 60%Helped
Increase model scaleLLMs · Power alignmentalignment with coercive powerHelped
Increase model scaleLLMs · Power alignmentalignment with non-coercive powerNo clear effect
Increase model scaleLLMs · Future value changescorrigibility scoreHurt
Vary sampling temperature (ablation)GPT-4o and GPT-4o-mini utility estimation · Preference queriescorrelation of preference means: r > 0.99No clear effect

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: Magpie-Pro-300k 2023 ACS 1-Year Public Use Microdata Sample

Benchmarks: MMLU

Metrics: test accuracy of preference prediction cosine similarity of utilities cycle probability expected utility MAE utility maximization score corrigibility score power and fitness alignment

Baselines: gpt-3.5-turbo gpt-4o-mini claude-3.5-sonnet grok-2

Builds on: Thurstonian utility model DPO Magpie

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