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Gemstones: A Model Suite for Multi-Faceted Scaling Laws

NeurIPS 2025 · Architectures and efficiency › RNNs and normalization · approach: Neural scaling laws · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Releases Gemstones, a suite of over 4000 checkpoints from transformers up to 2B parameters with diverse width/depth shapes and learning-rate/cooldown ablations, and uses it to show scaling-law prescriptions are sensitive to model selection and fitting choices.

Problem

Scaling laws are usually fit on a narrow family of models with frozen hyperparameters and a narrow range of width-depth ratios, so their prescriptions may not generalize and may depend heavily on design and model-selection choices.

Approach

Train a large open model suite varying width, depth, learning rate and cooldown, then fit scaling laws with a new convex-hull (lower envelope) fitting method that excludes suboptimal models, and quantify how fitting choices change prescriptions and how width/depth affects FLOPs versus GPU-hour efficiency.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use only checkpoints at tokens > 120b when fitting (ablation)Gemstones Approach 1 scaling law · Gemstonesslope: 0.4579 -> 0.7987; 0.5689 -> 0.9666Mixed
Use only checkpoints at tokens ≤ 100b when fitting (ablation)Gemstones Approach 1 scaling law · Gemstonesslope: 0.4579 -> 0.4994; 0.5689 -> 0.6269Mixed
Use cooldown runs when fitting (ablation)Gemstones Approach 1 scaling law · Gemstonesslope: 0.4579 -> 0.5970; 0.5689 -> 0.7242Mixed
Use half-learning-rate runs when fitting (ablation)Gemstones Approach 1 scaling law · Gemstonesslope: 0.4579 -> 0.5131; 0.5689 -> 0.6224Mixed
Use only checkpoints at tokens > 120b when fitting (ablation)Gemstones Approach 3 scaling law · Gemstonesslope: 0.6965 -> 0.7515; 0.7141 -> 0.7350Mixed
Use only checkpoints at tokens ≤ 100b when fitting (ablation)Gemstones Approach 3 scaling law · Gemstonesslope: 0.6965 -> 0.6986; 0.7141 -> 0.7030Mixed
Use cooldown runs when fitting (ablation)Gemstones Approach 3 scaling law · Gemstonesslope: 0.6965 -> 0.6992; 0.7141 -> 0.7104Mixed
Use half-learning-rate runs when fitting (ablation)Gemstones Approach 3 scaling law · Gemstonesslope: 0.6965 -> 0.6740; 0.7141 -> 0.6929Mixed
Subsample models to match Chinchilla model sizes and token counts (ablation)Gemstones Approach 3 scaling law · Gemstonesslope: 0.6965 -> 0.6315Mixed
Reduce sampling of Hoffmann data to match the selected models and token counts (ablation)Hoffmann scaling law, Approach 3 · Hoffmann dataslope: 0.5126 -> 0.6123Helped
Use the convex hull rather than FLOPs-bin minimizers to fit Approach 1Gemstones Approach 1 scaling law · Gemstonesfit reliabilityHelped
Increase model depth at approximately fixed FLOP budgetGemstones · Downstream benchmarksaccuracyHelped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: Dolma 1.7 DCLM-baseline FineWeb FineWeb-Edu

Benchmarks: MMLU WinoGrande OpenBookQA ARC CommonSenseQA PIQA SIQA HellaSwag

Metrics: validation log perplexity top-1 error accuracy absolute relative error FLOPs overspend GPU hours

Baselines: Chinchilla (Hoffmann et al.) Kaplan et al. scaling laws Approach 1 binning (Hoffmann et al.) Approach 3 parametric fit

Builds on: Chinchilla Kaplan scaling laws Gemma OLMo Pythia

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