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Understanding Scaling Laws with Statistical and Approximation Theory for Transformer Neural Networks on Intrinsically Low-dimensional Data

NeurIPS 2024 · Architectures and efficiency › RNNs and normalization · approach: Neural scaling laws · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proves statistical estimation and approximation bounds for transformers regressing Hölder functions on low-dimensional manifolds, deriving data and model scaling exponents that depend on intrinsic dimension, and checks them on small GPT-style LLMs and public scaling suites.

Problem

Why transformer neural scaling laws exist: a rigorous explanation of how generalization error scales with model size and training data size for transformers, given that real data lies on low-dimensional manifolds.

Approach

Derives transformer approximation and generalization bounds for Hölder functions on a d-dimensional manifold, with a shallow (O(log d) depth) construction using an Interaction Lemma, and converts the bounds into data and model scaling exponents 2β/(2β+d) and 2β/d expressed via intrinsic dimension.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
predict the data scaling exponent from the model scaling exponentID-free scaling-law prediction · GPT-2data scaling exponent: 0.070 vs 0.095Mixed
predict the model scaling exponent from the data scaling exponentID-free scaling-law prediction · GPT-2model scaling exponent: 0.106 vs 0.076Mixed
predict the data scaling exponent from the model scaling exponentID-free scaling-law prediction · Chinchilladata scaling exponent: 0.25 vs 0.28Mixed
predict the model scaling exponent from the data scaling exponentID-free scaling-law prediction · Chinchillamodel scaling exponent: 0.33 vs 0.34Mixed
increase model parameter count from 410 million to 12.8 billion (ablation)embedding model used to estimate intrinsic dimension · The Pileestimated intrinsic dimension: 15.56 -> 20.02Hurt
increase embedding dimension from 768 to 1536 (ablation)embedding model used to estimate intrinsic dimension · OpenWebTextestimated intrinsic dimension: 15.56 -> 18.68Hurt
increase sequence length from very short sequences to around 1024 tokens (ablation)embedding model used to estimate intrinsic dimension · Text sequencesestimated intrinsic dimension: 15.86 -> 12.9Helped
predict the data scaling exponent using estimated intrinsic dimensiontheory-based scaling prediction · OpenWebText, The Stack-SQL, and Tiny Storiesdata scaling exponent: ± 0.02Mixed
predict the model scaling exponent using estimated intrinsic dimensiontheory-based scaling prediction · GPT2 and Pythia scaling suitesmodel scaling exponentHurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: OpenWebText The Stack (SQL) TinyStories The Pile

Benchmarks: OpenWebText The Stack (SQL) TinyStories The Pile

Metrics: test loss scaling exponent intrinsic dimension (MLE estimator)

Baselines: GPT-2 scaling suite Pythia scaling suite Chinchilla scaling results

Builds on: Sharma and Kaplan intrinsic dimension scaling laws Chinchilla scaling laws Schmidt-Hieber ReLU network estimation theory

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