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Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Variational and generative sampling

Least squares variational inference

NeurIPS 2025 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Variational and generative sampling · approach: Variational inference theory and gradients · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes LSVI, a gradient-free Monte Carlo fixed-point scheme for exponential-family variational inference that reduces each step to ordinary least squares on tempered log-target evaluations, with convergence rates and efficient Gaussian variants.

Problem

Variational inference with exponential-family approximations when gradients of the log-target are unavailable or the reparameterisation trick is impossible (discrete targets, non-differentiable or likelihood-free models); natural gradient methods need costly Fisher inversions.

Approach

The optimal exponential-family approximation solves a fixed-point equation that equals an ordinary least squares regression of log-target on sufficient statistics under the current approximation; a Monte Carlo, damped version of this iteration is shown equivalent to biased stochastic natural gradient / mirror descent, and for Gaussians the regression is reparameterised via Hermite-like statistics

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
use LSVI-FC rather than MCMCBayesian synthetic likelihood for toad displacement · BSL toad displacementruntime (seconds): $72.9$ ($\pm 2.8$) vs $268.1$ ($\pm 3.4$)Helped
use LSVI rather than SMCvariable selection · Concrete Compressive Strength variable selectionruntime (seconds): $60.8$ ($\pm 0.3$) vs $290.7$ ($\pm 1.7$)Helped
use LSVI-MF rather than NGD-MFCensus logistic regression with subsampling · Census logistic regression, subsamplingruntime (seconds): $12.9$ ($\pm 0.2$) vs $70.0$ ($\pm 1.7$)Helped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: Pima Sonar Census-Income MNIST (digits 0 vs 8) Concrete Compressive Strength toad displacement (synthetic)

Benchmarks: Pima logistic regression Sonar logistic regression MNIST logistic regression Census-Income logistic regression Concrete variable selection toad BSL

Metrics: KL divergence to posterior (up to constant) runtime memory usage misclassification rate posterior inclusion probabilities

Baselines: ADVI NGD GMMVI SMC sampler MCMC (random walk)

Builds on: natural gradient variational inference mirror descent GMMVI ADVI

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