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On the Optimality of the Median-of-Means Estimator under Adversarial Contamination

NeurIPS 2025 · Learning theory and algorithms › Sample complexity · approach: Optimal mean estimation and subsampling · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Shows that the Median-of-Means estimator is minimax optimal under adversarial contamination for finite-variance, infinite-variance (finite (1+r)-th moment) and symmetric distributions, and sub-optimal for sub-exponential and light-tailed classes, via upper and lower bounds.

Problem

Determining whether the Median-of-Means estimator is minimax optimal for mean estimation under adversarial contamination beyond the Gaussian case, and characterizing its limitations (asymptotic bias) for different distribution classes.

Approach

Derives MoM error bounds via the quantile function of block averages (Theorem: error governed by quantiles of the i.i.d. average around its median), then tunes the number of blocks k per distribution class; matching lower bounds show optimality for heavy-tailed and symmetric classes and sub-optimality for light tails.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use MoM with k = max{ceil{log(2/delta)/(1/2-1/gamma)^2}, ceil{gamma alpha n}}MoM on finite-variance distributions · Finite variance (P2), adversarial contaminationestimation error: \sqrt{\frac{\log(2/\delta)}{n}} + \sqrt{\alpha}Helped
Use MoM with k = max{ceil{log(2/delta)/(1/2-1/gamma)^2}, ceil{gamma alpha n}}MoM on distributions with finite absolute (1+r)-th moment · Infinite variance (P_{1+r}), adversarial contaminationestimation error: \left({\frac{\log(2/\delta)}{n}}\right)^{\frac{r}{1+r}} + {\alpha}^{\frac{r}{1+r}}Helped
Choose k = ceil{xi alpha^{2/3} n}MoM on sub-exponential distributions · Sub-exponential (P_SE), adversarial contaminationasymptotic bias: \alpha^{2/3}Helped
Use any number of blocks kMoM on sub-exponential distributions · Sub-exponential (P_SE), adversarial contaminationasymptotic bias: \alpha^{2/3}Hurt
Use k = ceil{xi alpha^{2/(s+1)} n} on distributions matching Gaussian central moments through order sMoM on P_SG^s · Sub-Gaussian moment-matched distributions, adversarial contaminationasymptotic bias: \alpha^{\frac{s}{s+1}}Helped
Use k = ceil{beta n} on symmetric distributions with a locally linear quantile functionMoM on P_sym^{epsilon_0,c} · Symmetric distributions (P_sym^{epsilon_0,c}), adversarial contaminationestimation error: \sqrt{\frac{\log(2/\delta)}{n}} + \alphaHelped
Choose the block count for finite-variance worst-case optimality rather than specifically for light-tailed distributionsMoM on well-behaved distributions such as Gaussian · Finite variance, adversarial contaminationasymptotic bias: \sqrt{\alpha}Hurt
Use MoM rather than the optimal trimmed meanMean estimation on sub-Gaussian distributions · Sub-Gaussian (P_SG), adversarial contaminationasymptotic bias: \alpha^{2/3} vs. \alpha\sqrt{\log(1/\alpha)}Hurt
Use MoM rather than the optimal trimmed meanMean estimation on sub-exponential distributions · Sub-exponential (P_SE), adversarial contaminationasymptotic bias: \alpha^{2/3} vs. \alpha\log(1/\alpha)Hurt
Use MoM rather than the optimal Gaussian estimatorMean estimation on Gaussian distributions · Gaussian (P_G), adversarial contaminationasymptotic bias: \alphaNo clear effect

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Metrics: estimation error bound order asymptotic bias order

Baselines: trimmed mean Catoni's M-estimator Lee-Valiant estimator

Builds on: Median-of-Means Catoni's M-estimator trimmed mean Minsker's MoM analysis

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