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Adversarial Robustness of Nonparametric Regression

NeurIPS 2025 · Adversarial robustness and security › Certified and empirical robustness · approach: Provable robust learning guarantees · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Shows that cubic smoothing splines are robust to adversarial response corruption in second-order Sobolev regression (vanishing error when q=o(n)), and gives matching minimax lower bounds showing linear corruption makes consistent estimation impossible.

Problem

Estimating a nonparametric regression function in the second-order Sobolev space when an adversary can arbitrarily corrupt up to q of n responses, measured by worst-case L2 and L-infinity errors.

Approach

Shows the classical cubic smoothing spline, with proper regularization lambda, is adversarially robust by bounding the deviation from its clean-data counterpart via the equivalent-kernel approximation of the smoothing spline weights, and pairs this with a two-function hypothesis-testing lower bound.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use cubic smoothing splines under q = Θ(n^β), with β ≤ 0.4Second-order Sobolev regression · Adversarial corruptionR₂: O(n^{-4/5})Helped
Increase corruption scaling to q = Θ(n^β), β > 0.4Cubic smoothing spline · Second-order Sobolev regressionR₂ convergence rate: O(n^{-4/5}) -> O(n^{-4/3(1-β)})Hurt
Use cubic smoothing splines under q = Θ(n^β), with β ≤ 0.5Second-order Sobolev regression · Adversarial corruptionR∞: O(n^{-3/5})Helped
Increase corruption scaling to q = Θ(n^β), β > 0.5Cubic smoothing spline · Second-order Sobolev regressionR∞ convergence rate: O(n^{-3/5}) -> O(n^{-6/5(1-β)})Hurt
Use concentrated corruption instead of random or greedy corruptionCubic smoothing spline · Regression experiments under uniform and Gaussian designsEstimation errorHurt
Allow q = o(n) adversarially corrupted samplesCubic smoothing spline · Second-order Sobolev regressionR₂ and R∞: R₂ → 0; R∞ → 0Helped
Allow q = Θ(n) adversarially corrupted samplesAny estimator · Second-order Sobolev regressionR₂ and R∞Hurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: synthetic regression data (f(x)=x sin x; three-layer MLP target)

Metrics: R_2 risk R_infinity risk empirical convergence rate

Baselines: Nadaraya-Watson estimator Zhao et al. M-estimator NW variant

Builds on: smoothing spline theory equivalent kernel approximation (Silverman) Zhao et al. adversarial kernel regression

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