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Prediction with Action: Visual Policy Learning via Joint Denoising Process
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Proposes PAD, a DiT-based visual policy that jointly denoises future images and robot actions (and optionally depth), co-trained on BridgeData-v2 videos and robot demos, and evaluated on 50-task Metaworld and real-world Panda manipulation.
Problem
Visual robot policy learning from limited demonstrations; existing approaches either use image generation as a separate two-stage step (e.g., goal-image synthesis) or decouple prediction from action, missing shared physical dynamics and internet video pretraining benefits.
Approach
A single diffusion transformer jointly denoises future RGB images, depth images, and robot actions via token concatenation with attention masks, allowing co-training on action-free video data by masking missing modalities, initialized from an ImageNet-pretrained DiT.
Key results
- PAD achieves 72.5% average success rate across 50 Metaworld tasks, versus 57.4% for the strongest baseline GR-1 (26.3% relative improvement).
- In real-world in-distribution tasks, PAD averages 72.5% success vs 69.0% for RT-2* in the reported table; PAD-Depth reaches 78%.
- Ablations show removing image prediction drops Metaworld average to 43.6%, and removing video co-training drops it to 59.2%.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Use joint future-image prediction and action generation with PAD | Single text-conditioned visual policy · MetaWorld (50 tasks) | success rate: 57.4% -> 72.5% | Helped |
| Use PAD instead of the strongest baseline | Real-world manipulation policy · Real-world manipulation (in-distribution) | success rate: 0.69 -> 0.72 | Helped |
| Add depth modality (ablation) | PAD · Real-world manipulation (in-distribution) | success rate: 0.72 -> 0.78 | Helped |
| Add future-image prediction (ablation) | PAD · MetaWorld (50 tasks) | success rate: 43.6% -> 72.5% | Helped |
| Add co-training on internet video data (ablation) | PAD · MetaWorld (50 tasks) | success rate: 59.2% -> 72.5% | Helped |
| Increase model size and computational allocation from XL/8 to XL/2 (ablation) | PAD · MetaWorld (50 tasks) | success rate: 48.2% -> 72.5% | Helped |
| Vary model size and patchify configuration (ablation) | PAD · MetaWorld (50 tasks) | success rate: 62.4%, 68.4%, 64.5%, 72.5% | Mixed |
Surprising findings
- Removing image prediction causes a large drop (72.5% to 43.6%), indicating that predicting only low-dimensional robot poses overfits in this data-efficient setting.
- Scaling analysis shows a model with fewer tokens (XL/8, 48.2%) performs worse than a smaller-compute but finer-patch model (B/2, 62.4%), indicating success correlates with transformer Gflops.
Limitations
- Control frequency is low because joint denoising of images and actions is expensive.
- Only three modalities (RGB, robot pose, depth) were tested; extension to tactile or other signals is left to future work.
- Real-world evaluation uses a limited set of tasks and the Metaworld setup uses a fixed camera viewpoint.
Experimental setup
Datasets: BridgeData-v2 Metaworld demonstrations real-world Panda teleoperation demonstrations
Benchmarks: Metaworld (50 tasks) real-world Panda manipulation (in-distribution and unseen-object generalization)
Metrics: success rate average success rate relative improvement
Baselines: Diffusion Policy SuSIE RT-1 RT-2* GR-1
Builds on: Diffusion Policy DiT DDPM latent diffusion SuSIE
Closest papers by meaning
- Two-Steps Diffusion Policy for Robotic Manipulation via Genetic Denoising (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.92)
- Video Prediction Policy: A Generalist Robot Policy with Predictive Visual Representations (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.91)
- VidMan: Exploiting Implicit Dynamics from Video Diffusion Model for Effective Robot Manipulation (NeurIPS 2024 · similarity 0.90)
- Learning an Actionable Discrete Diffusion Policy via Large-Scale Actionless Video Pre-Training (NeurIPS 2024 · similarity 0.90)
- One-Step Diffusion Policy: Fast Visuomotor Policies via Diffusion Distillation (ICML 2025 · similarity 0.90)
- Conditioning Matters: Training Diffusion Policies is Faster Than You Think (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.90)
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