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Cardinality-Aware Set Prediction and Top-$k$ Classification

NeurIPS 2024 · Learning theory and algorithms › Prediction and decision losses · approach: Consistency of surrogate losses · 3 citations (OpenAlex)

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Introduces cardinality-aware top-k set prediction with a cost-sensitive target loss, proposes cost-sensitive comp-sum and constrained surrogates with H-consistency bounds, and tests them on CIFAR-10/100, SVHN, and ImageNet.

Problem

Learning accurate top-k set predictors whose cardinality adapts per input while keeping average set size low, which is an instance-dependent cost-sensitive problem that is intractable to optimize directly.

Approach

Define a target loss combining top-k classification error with a log/linear cardinality cost, then optimize cost-sensitive extensions of comp-sum and constrained surrogate losses, and prove H-consistency bounds for both the fixed-k top-k setting and the cardinality-aware setting.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use cardinality-aware selection instead of a fixed top-k classifierTop-k prediction · CIFAR-100, CIFAR-10, and SVHNcardinality at the same accuracy: roughly only half of the cardinalityHelped
Use cardinality-aware selection instead of a fixed top-k classifierTop-k prediction · ImageNetcardinality at the same accuracy: only two-thirds of the cardinalityHelped
Decrease the trade-off parameter λCardinality-aware algorithm · CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, ImageNet, and SVHNaccuracyHelped
Use linear cardinality cost k instead of logarithmic cost log(k) (ablation)Cardinality-aware algorithm · CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, ImageNet, and SVHNaccuracy versus cardinalityNo clear effect

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: CIFAR-10 CIFAR-100 SVHN ImageNet

Benchmarks: CIFAR-10 CIFAR-100 SVHN ImageNet

Metrics: top-k accuracy average cardinality

Baselines: top-k classifiers conformal prediction

Builds on: comp-sum losses constrained losses H-consistency bounds conformal prediction

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