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Generalized Tensor Decomposition for Understanding Multi-Output Regression under Combinatorial Shifts
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Formalizes multi-output regression under combinatorial distribution shift (CDS), proposes a functional t-SVD (Ft-SVD) theory and a double-stage ERM (ERM-DS) algorithm with excess-risk guarantees, validated only on small synthetic tensor experiments.
Problem
Multi-output regression must generalize to input feature combinations (x,y) that never appear in the training distribution (combinatorial distribution shift), where test samples have zero density under training.
Approach
Extends classical t-SVD to infinite continuous feature domains (Ft-SVD), casts CDS multi-output regression as low-rank tensor completion under MNAR, and uses a two-stage ERM with frequency-component-specific hypothesis classes that exploit per-frequency spectral decay.
Key results
- ERM-DS consistently achieves lower test risk than single-stage ERM across covariate shift intensities kappa in [0.1, 3] on synthetic tensors.
- The performance gap between ERM-DS and single-stage ERM widens as covariate shift intensity kappa increases.
- ERM-DS yields lower test risk than ERM across training-data percentages (50%-90%), including with limited samples.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Use ERM-DS instead of single-stage ERM | Multi-output regression under CDS · Synthetic tensor data with CDS | test risk | Helped |
| Increase covariate-shift intensity κ | Single-stage ERM and ERM-DS · Synthetic tensor data with CDS | test risk | Hurt |
Limitations
- Experiments are only a synthetic conceptual validation; robustness on real-world data is uncertain.
- Spectral methods may not capture the complexity of real-world data.
- Extension to more than two combinatorial features remains an open problem.
Experimental setup
Datasets: synthetic factor-tensor data Akiyo video frames (illustrative spectral decay figure only)
Benchmarks: synthetic tensor completion under CDS
Metrics: test risk
Baselines: single-stage ERM
Builds on: t-SVD ERM-DS (Simchowitz et al.) Eckart-Young theorem
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