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Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Uncertainty and Gaussian processes

Improving model calibration with accuracy versus uncertainty optimization

NeurIPS 2020 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: Single-model predictive uncertainty · 32 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
add AvUC loss to SVI training (SVI-AvUC vs SVI) (ablation)SVI ResNet-50 · ImageNet shift intensity 5mean ECE: 0.1188 -> 0.0542Helped
add AvUC loss to SVI training (ablation)SVI ResNet-50 · ImageNet shift intensity 5mean UCE: 0.2865 -> 0.1774Helped
post-hoc AvUTS temperature scaling on SVI (ablation)SVI ResNet-50 · ImageNet shift intensity 5mean ECE: 0.1188 -> 0.0800Helped
add AvUC loss to SVI training (ablation)SVI ResNet-50 · ImageNet shift intensity 5mean NLL: 4.865 -> 4.707Helped
add AvUC loss to SVI (ablation)SVI · ImageNet dataset shift detectionAUROC: 96.40 -> 97.60Helped
add AvUC loss to SVI (ablation)SVI · CIFAR10 dataset shift detectionAUROC: 85.89 -> 95.54Helped
add AvUC loss to SVI (ablation)SVI · CIFAR10 OOD detection (SVHN)AUROC: 93.94 -> 99.35Helped
post-hoc AvUTS instead of NLL temperature scaling on SVI (ablation)SVI · CIFAR10 dataset shift detectionAUROC: 81.08 -> 81.19No clear effect
add AvUC loss to vanilla DNN (ablation)Vanilla ResNet-20 · CIFAR10 shift intensity 5ECE (%): 31.5 -> 23.2Helped
add AvUC loss to vanilla DNN (ablation)Vanilla ResNet-20 · CIFAR10 shift intensity 5UCE (%): 28.5 -> 16.8Helped
AvUTS post-hoc on vanilla DNN (ablation)Vanilla ResNet-20 · CIFAR10 in-distribution (intensity 0)ECE (%): 4.6 -> 2.1Helped
AvUC on vanilla vs vanilla in-distribution (ablation)Vanilla ResNet-20 · CIFAR10 in-distribution (intensity 0)ECE (%): 4.6 -> 3.4Helped

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