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Research map / Learning theory and algorithms / Prediction and decision losses

Eliciting Honest Information from Authors Using Sequential Review

AAAI 2024 · Learning theory and algorithms › Prediction and decision losses · approach: Ranking models from comparisons · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proposes a sequential review mechanism that elicits truthful paper rankings from multi-submission authors by conditionally reviewing lower-ranked papers, assuming only that author utility is increasing in the quality of accepted papers.

Problem

Isotonic mechanism for eliciting author rankings of multiple submissions only works if author utility is increasing and convex in review score, which is often violated in peer review (e.g., authors maximizing accepted paper count).

Approach

Review an author's papers in the reported ranking order, conditioning review of each lower-ranked paper on the review outcomes of higher-ranked ones; misreporting causes earlier termination, so truthful ranking is incentivized under a monotonicity-based sufficient condition, with memoryless coin-flip and credit pool instances.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use sequential review based on the author's ranking instead of unconditional parallel reviewConference review · Gaussian review settingconference utility: at least a 40% improvement towards the upper boundHelped
Use sequential review based on the author's ranking instead of unconditional parallel reviewConference review · ICLR OpenReview 2021–2023review burden: over 20%Helped
Use sequential review based on the author's ranking instead of unconditional parallel reviewConference review · Gaussian review setting, n=2review burden: 10-30%Helped
Increase the number of papers per authorThreshold sequential review · Gaussian review settingconference utility relative to parallel reviewHelped
Make papers more likely to be low qualityThreshold sequential review · Gaussian review settingconference utility relative to parallel reviewHelped
Increase review noiseThreshold sequential review · Gaussian review settingconference utility relative to parallel reviewHelped
Increase the number of papers per authorThreshold sequential review · Gaussian review settingreview burdenHelped
Use sequential review instead of parallel reviewAuthors choosing effort and paper quality · Binary effort settingmarginal rate of substitution for high- versus low-quality papersHelped
Use sequential review instead of parallel reviewAuthors choosing effort and paper quality · Finite effort settingmarginal rate of substitution between higher- and lower-acceptance-probability pHelped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Datasets: ICLR OpenReview 2021-2023

Benchmarks: ICLR OpenReview 2021-2023 (fitted softmax model)

Metrics: relative conference utility relative review burden average quality of reviewed papers

Baselines: parallel review mechanism isotonic mechanism with true ranking

Builds on: isotonic mechanism

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