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Cluster Variational Approximations for Structure Learning of Continuous-Time Bayesian Networks from Incomplete Data

NeurIPS 2018 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Uncertainty and Gaussian processes · approach: Approximate inference in Bayesian neural networks · 5 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Increase the number of trajectories from D=5 to D=20Cluster variational CTBN · Synthetic CTBN, k_max=1AUROC: 0.78$\pm$ 0.03 -> 0.96$\pm$ 0.02Helped
Increase the number of trajectories from D=5 to D=20Cluster variational CTBN · Synthetic CTBN, k_max=1AUPR: 0.64$\pm$ 0.01 -> 0.92$\pm$ 0.00Helped
Increase measurement noise from σ=0.6 to σ=1.0Cluster variational CTBN · Synthetic CTBN, k_max=1AUROC: 0.81$\pm$ 0.10 -> 0.69$\pm$ 0.07Hurt
Increase measurement noise from σ=0.6 to σ=1.0Cluster variational CTBN · Synthetic CTBN, k_max=1AUPR: 0.71$\pm$ 0.00 -> 0.49$\pm$ 0.01Hurt
Increase the maximum parent count in the generated graphs from k_max=1 to k_max=2Cluster variational CTBN · Synthetic CTBN, D=10AUROC: 0.87$\pm$ 0.03 -> 0.68$\pm$ 0.12Hurt
Use the star approximation instead of the naive mean-field approximation (ablation)CTBN variational inference · 8-node tree and undirected chainMSEHelped
Use the star approximation instead of the naive mean-field approximation (ablation)CTBN variational inference · 8-node tree and undirected chainEvidence approximationHelped
Increase the maximum parent count in the generated graphs from k_max=1 to k_max=2Cluster variational CTBN · Synthetic CTBN, D=10AUPR: 0.76$\pm$ 0.00 -> 0.54$\pm$ 0.14Hurt

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