Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Molecules and proteins
Launch and Iterate: Reducing Prediction Churn
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Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Add RCP stabilization operator | Ridge regression · Nomao | churn ratio: 1.00 -> 0.54 | Helped |
| Add RCP stabilization operator | SVM · Twitter Buzz | WLR: 1.35 -> 1.77 | Helped |
| Add RCP stabilization operator | SVM · Twitter Buzz | pwin: 42.2 -> 86.6 | Helped |
| Add RCP stabilization operator | Ridge · Twitter Buzz | WLR: 1.71 -> 3.54 | Helped |
| Add RCP stabilization operator | RF · Twitter Buzz | WLR: 1.35 -> 1.15 | Hurt |
| Add RCP stabilization operator | Ridge · News | WLR: 0.95 -> 0.94 | No clear effect |
| Add RCP stabilization operator | SVM · Nomao | WLR: 1.70 -> 2.51 | Helped |
| Run RCP inside MCMC chain (k=30) instead of single step | RCP · Twitter Buzz Ridge | churn ratio: 0.85 -> 0.65 ± 0.05 | Helped |
| MCMC instead of single step RCP | RCP · Twitter Buzz Ridge | WLR: 3.54 -> 1.53 | Hurt |
| MCMC stabilization | Ridge · Twitter Buzz | accuracy: 89.7 -> 90.1 ± 0.1 | Helped |
| Increase epsilon in RCP (ablation) | RCP on SVM · Nomao | churn ratio and accuracy | Mixed |
| Increase alpha in RCP (ablation) | RCP on SVM · Nomao | churn ratio and accuracy | Mixed |
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