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On the Dynamic Regret of Following the Regularized Leader: Optimism with History Pruning

ICML 2025 · Bandits and online learning › Online convex optimization and games · approach: Dynamic and adaptive regret · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Shows optimistic FTRL can achieve problem-dependent dynamic regret bounds over compact sets by pruning the linearized history (state) via normal-cone subgradients, yielding the OptFPRL algorithm.

Problem

FTRL was thought unsuitable for dynamic regret because its aggregated linearized history grows unboundedly and makes iterates lazy; no optimistic, data-dependent dynamic regret guarantees existed for FTRL over bounded domains.

Approach

Use the normal cone of the compact set to select boundary subgradients that prune the FTRL state whenever the unconstrained iterate leaves the set, keeping the state norm bounded by the regularization; combined with optimistic predictions and recursive (AdaFTRL-style) regularization to get bounds scaling with prediction error and path length.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Prune the accumulated FTRL state using normal-cone termsFTRL · OCO dynamic regretdynamic regret upper boundHelped
Use optimistic predictions so the regret bound depends on prediction errorOptFPRL · OCO dynamic regret, perfect predictionsdynamic regret upper bound: zeroHelped
Tune regularization using prior P_T rather than P_T-agnostic regularizationOptFPRL · OCO dynamic regret, known P_Tdynamic regret upper bound: \mathcal{O}\left((1+P_T)\sqrt{E_T}\right) -> \mathcal{O}\left((1+\sqrt{P_T})\sqrt{E_T}\right)Helped
Estimate P_T online instead of providing it in advanceOptFPRL · OCO dynamic regret, unknown but observable P_Tdynamic regret upper bound: A_T; in the worst case, A_T = \mathcal{O}(\sqrt{E_T}(P_T + 1))Mixed
Set regularization recursively using local regret instead of an upper bound based on prediction errorOptFPRL · OCO dynamic regretdynamic regret upper bound: (3.7R+P_T)\sqrt{E_T} + H_THelped

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Metrics: dynamic regret bound

Baselines: Optimistic OMD (two-step) Ader-style meta-learning dynamic regret FTRL dynamic regret (Adam analysis)

Builds on: FTRL Optimistic FTRL AdaFTRL Optimistic OMD FTRL Greedy

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