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An Analysis of Quantile Temporal-Difference Learning

ICML 2025 · Video › Video segmentation and tracking · approach: Spatio-temporal predictive modeling · 3 citations (OpenAlex)

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Proves almost-sure convergence of synchronous quantile temporal-difference learning (QTD) to the fixed points of a family of quantile dynamic programming operators, via differential inclusions and a Lyapunov function, and bounds the fixed-point approximation error.

Problem

Theoretical convergence of quantile temporal-difference learning (QTD), a distributional RL algorithm using asymmetric L1 (quantile regression) losses, whose updates are non-linear, non-contractive and may have multiple fixed points.

Approach

Relates QTD to a family of quantile dynamic programming (QDP) operators parametrised by interpolation parameters lambda; shows the projected distributional Bellman operator is a gamma-contraction in Wasserstein-infinity, models QTD as a noisy discretisation of a differential inclusion, and constructs a Lyapunov function to prove almost-sure convergence under weaker assumptions than classical TD (n

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use QTD with the stated step-size conditionsQTD · Finite tabular MDPsconvergence probability: with probability 1Helped
Iterate the projected distributional Bellman operator Π^λ T^πQDP · Finite tabular MDPsconvergence rate: γ^kHelped
Increase the number of quantiles mQTD/QDP fixed point · Bounded-reward MDPsWasserstein-1 fixed-point error bound: (V_max - V_min)/(2m(1-γ))Helped
Use equally spaced quantile levels τ_i = (2i-1)/(2m)QTD · Bound on distribution approximationWasserstein-1 fixed-point error boundHelped
Have transition and reward distributions become Dirac deltas after k stepsQTD/QDP fixed point · MDPs deterministic after k stepsWasserstein-1 fixed-point error bound: (V_max - V_min)(1-γ^k)/(2m(1-γ))Helped
Increase m from 2 to 100QDP · Two-state MDP return distribution at x₁distribution approximation quality: m=2; m=100Helped
Use m=2 quantilesQDP · Two-state MDP return distribution at x₁return overestimation: m=2; 20Hurt

Surprising findings

Limitations

Experimental setup

Metrics: Wasserstein-1 distance (bound) Wasserstein-infinity contraction

Baselines: classical TD learning categorical temporal-difference learning

Builds on: quantile regression quantile temporal-difference learning distributional Bellman operator stochastic approximation with differential inclusions (Benaim-Hofbauer-Sorin)

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