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An Analysis of Quantile Temporal-Difference Learning
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Proves almost-sure convergence of synchronous quantile temporal-difference learning (QTD) to the fixed points of a family of quantile dynamic programming operators, via differential inclusions and a Lyapunov function, and bounds the fixed-point approximation error.
Problem
Theoretical convergence of quantile temporal-difference learning (QTD), a distributional RL algorithm using asymmetric L1 (quantile regression) losses, whose updates are non-linear, non-contractive and may have multiple fixed points.
Approach
Relates QTD to a family of quantile dynamic programming (QDP) operators parametrised by interpolation parameters lambda; shows the projected distributional Bellman operator is a gamma-contraction in Wasserstein-infinity, models QTD as a noisy discretisation of a differential inclusion, and constructs a Lyapunov function to prove almost-sure convergence under weaker assumptions than classical TD (n
Key results
- Proves QTD converges almost surely to the set of fixed points of projected distributional Bellman operators under step sizes with sum alpha_k = infinity and alpha_k = o(1/log k), without finite-variance assumptions.
- Shows the projected operator Pi^lambda T^pi is a gamma-contraction in Wasserstein-infinity, with a unique fixed point for m quantiles.
- Bounds the fixed-point error: w1-bar(eta_hat, eta) <= (Vmax - Vmin)/(2m(1-gamma)), improving with more quantiles m.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Use QTD with the stated step-size conditions | QTD · Finite tabular MDPs | convergence probability: with probability 1 | Helped |
| Iterate the projected distributional Bellman operator Π^λ T^π | QDP · Finite tabular MDPs | convergence rate: γ^k | Helped |
| Increase the number of quantiles m | QTD/QDP fixed point · Bounded-reward MDPs | Wasserstein-1 fixed-point error bound: (V_max - V_min)/(2m(1-γ)) | Helped |
| Use equally spaced quantile levels τ_i = (2i-1)/(2m) | QTD · Bound on distribution approximation | Wasserstein-1 fixed-point error bound | Helped |
| Have transition and reward distributions become Dirac deltas after k steps | QTD/QDP fixed point · MDPs deterministic after k steps | Wasserstein-1 fixed-point error bound: (V_max - V_min)(1-γ^k)/(2m(1-γ)) | Helped |
| Increase m from 2 to 100 | QDP · Two-state MDP return distribution at x₁ | distribution approximation quality: m=2; m=100 | Helped |
| Use m=2 quantiles | QDP · Two-state MDP return distribution at x₁ | return overestimation: m=2; 20 | Hurt |
Surprising findings
- QTD can converge to a set rather than a point, or have multiple fixed points, depending on reward distribution structure (e.g. deterministic rewards with non-trivial transition probabilities).
- With few quantiles (m=2), fixed-point return estimates can be heavily over-estimated due to self-loop backups in the quantile backup diagram.
Limitations
- Main convergence proof is for synchronous updates; asynchronous case only sketched.
- Analysis is tabular with finite state and action spaces; no function approximation.
Experimental setup
Metrics: Wasserstein-1 distance (bound) Wasserstein-infinity contraction
Baselines: classical TD learning categorical temporal-difference learning
Builds on: quantile regression quantile temporal-difference learning distributional Bellman operator stochastic approximation with differential inclusions (Benaim-Hofbauer-Sorin)
Closest papers by meaning
- The Statistical Benefits of Quantile Temporal-Difference Learning for Value Estimation (ICML 2023 · similarity 0.87)
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- An Improved Finite-time Analysis of Temporal Difference Learning with Deep Neural Networks (ICML 2024 · similarity 0.82)
- The surprising efficiency of temporal difference learning for rare event prediction (NeurIPS 2024 · similarity 0.81)
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