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The Empirical Mean is Minimax Optimal for Local Glivenko-Cantelli

ICML 2025 · Learning theory and algorithms › Sample complexity · approach: Minimax estimation rates · 0 citations (OpenAlex)

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Shows that, for product Bernoulli distributions, the Local Glivenko-Cantelli class LGC is essentially the largest learnable family under decay and strong-symmetry restrictions, that the empirical mean estimator is near-minimax optimal, and that relaxing these restrictions allows a strictly larger learnable class.

Problem

Whether arbitrary estimators (beyond the empirical mean estimator) can learn a strictly larger class of product Bernoulli distributions under the local Glivenko-Cantelli setting, and whether they can achieve faster l-infinity risk decay than the EME.

Approach

Extends the local Glivenko-Cantelli analysis from the EME to arbitrary estimators: uses a sign-reflection (Rademacher) randomized construction and Borel-Cantelli arguments to show LGC is maximal under decay and strong symmetry, derives a minimax lower bound matching EME rates, and shows a test-then-switch estimator learns LGC plus constant sequences when those restrictions are dropped.

Key results

Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
allow arbitrary estimators instead of restricting to the empirical meandecaying, strongly symmetric product-distribution families · Local Glivenko-Cantelliexpected sup-norm risk decay rateNo clear effect
add constant sequences to the EME-learnable familydot-LGC · dot-LGC union constant sequenceslearnabilityHelped
allow distributions within c/sqrt(j) of 1/2product-distribution learning · Q = {p: |p[j] - 1/2| <= c/sqrt(j)}learnabilityHelped
use the simple average estimator instead of the EMEstructured distributions · uniform, triangular, Beta(2,2), exponential, 1/n-scaled, and GaussianerrorHelped

Surprising findings

Experimental setup

Metrics: expected sup-norm estimation error minimax risk

Baselines: Empirical Mean Estimator

Builds on: Local Glivenko-Cantelli (Cohen et al.) Fano method

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