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MC-GTA: Metric-Constrained Model-Based Clustering using Goodness-of-fit Tests with Autocorrelations
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Proposes MC-GTA, a model-based metric-constrained clustering method that uses a Wasserstein-2 generalized semivariogram and a hinge-loss objective derived from goodness-of-fit tests, avoiding EM iterations.
Problem
Metric-constrained clustering of temporal and spatial data ignores metric autocorrelation, and existing model-based methods (TICC/STICC) rely on EM with a soft metric penalty that is computationally unstable and slow to converge.
Approach
Replace the univariate semivariogram with a multivariate generalization using square Wasserstein-2 distance between per-observation GMRF models, fit a theoretical semivariogram, and penalize intra-cluster pairs whose W2^2 exceeds the shifted semivariogram via a hinge loss, interpreted as goodness-of-fit tests; clustering is then done with DBSCAN on the resulting pairwise loss matrix, with no EM it
Key results
- MC-GTA-w achieves best ARI/NMI on most datasets, e.g., Pavement ARI 77.64 / NMI 77.22 vs. TICC 62.27 / 61.89.
- On Gesture, MC-GTA-w reaches ARI 26.51 vs. TICC 12.20 (NMI 55.34 vs 23.20); MC-GTA-w also has NMI 42.97 on iNat2018-style table vs. STICC not converging.
- MC-GTA runs about 5-15x faster than TICC/STICC (e.g., Pavement 14s vs 508s) and converges where STICC returns NC on large datasets.
Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Add metric constraints to MC-GTA | MC-GTA on Gesture · Gesture | ARI: 8.12 -> 26.51 | Helped |
| Add metric constraints to MC-GTA | MC-GTA on Climate · Climate | ARI: 16.63 -> 20.08 | Helped |
| Use Wasserstein-2 instead of Euclidean distance (ablation) | MC-GTA · Pavement | ARI: 23.11 -> 77.64 | Helped |
| Use Wasserstein-2 instead of Cosine distance (ablation) | MC-GTA · Pavement | ARI: 0.34 -> 77.64 | Helped |
| Use Wasserstein-2 instead of Total Var. (ablation) | MC-GTA · Pavement | ARI: 3.37 -> 77.64 | Helped |
| Use Wasserstein-2 instead of KL-D (ablation) | MC-GTA · Pavement | ARI: 56.73 -> 77.64 | Helped |
| Use Wasserstein-2 instead of JS-D (ablation) | MC-GTA · Pavement | ARI: 15.55 -> 77.64 | Helped |
| Replace GLASSO covariance estimation with MIN-COV (ablation) | MC-GTA · Pavement | ARI: 77.64 -> 80.82 | Helped |
| Replace GLASSO covariance estimation with SHRUNK (ablation) | MC-GTA · Pavement | ARI: 77.64 -> 74.70 | Hurt |
| Replace DBSCAN with HDBSCAN (ablation) | MC-GTA · Pavement | ARI: 77.64 -> 72.35 | Hurt |
| Replace DBSCAN with OPTICS (ablation) | MC-GTA · Pavement | ARI: 77.64 -> 69.77 | Hurt |
| Remove the hinge operation (ablation) | MC-GTA · Pavement | computational stability | Hurt |
Surprising findings
- SKATER outperforms MC-GTA on the Climate dataset, which the authors attribute to contiguous cluster regions with disjoint boundaries.
- Metric-constrained MC-GTA is worse than GMM on the sparse Climate and iNaturalist spatial settings without a global prior, due to the sampling-radius dilemma.
Limitations
- Performance degrades on spatially sparse data (Climate), where neighborhoods must include metrically distant observations with high variance.
- Gaussian Markov Random Field assumption; extension to non-Gaussian MRFs left to future work.
- Introduces margin hyperparameter delta that must be tuned, and relies on Graphical Lasso covariance estimation.
Experimental setup
Datasets: Pavement Vehicle Gesture Climate iNaturalist-2018 NYC Foursquare POI NYC Landuse (PLUTO) synthetic 1D temporal synthetic 2D spatial
Benchmarks: Pavement Vehicle Gesture Climate iNaturalist-2018 POI Landuse synthetic temporal synthetic spatial
Metrics: ARI NMI runtime (s)
Baselines: k-Means DBSCAN HDBSCAN DTW PCK-Means MDST-DBSCAN SKATER GMM TICC STICC
Builds on: TICC STICC ST-DBSCAN Graphical Lasso DBSCAN
Closest papers by meaning
- Fairness, Semi-Supervised Learning, and More: A General Framework for Clustering with Stochastic Pairwise Constraints (AAAI 2021 · similarity 0.85)
- Approximation Scheme for Weighted Metric Clustering via Sherali-Adams (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.85)
- Fast unsupervised ground metric learning with tree-Wasserstein distance (ICLR 2025 · similarity 0.83)
- Ultrametric Cluster Hierarchies: I Want ‘em All! (NeurIPS 2025 · similarity 0.83)
- On the cohesion and separability of average-link for hierarchical agglomerative clustering (NeurIPS 2024 · similarity 0.82)
- SEC: More Accurate Clustering Algorithm via Structural Entropy (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.82)
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