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ClimaX: A foundation model for weather and climate

ICML 2023 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Molecules and proteins · approach: Machine learning for physical simulation · 167 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
pretrain on CMIP6 and finetune for downstream S2S predictionClimaX · ERA5-S2S weeks 3-4 and weeks 5-6RMSE: 1.96 -> 1.89 (T850 weeks 3-4); 1.96 -> 1.92 (T850 weeks 5-6); 1.79 -> 1.66 (T2m weeks 3-4); 1.90 -> 1.70 (T2m weeks 5-6)Helped
freeze attention layers during ClimateBench finetuning (ablation)ClimaX · ClimateBench temperature predictionsTotal: 0.300 -> 0.297 (surface temperature); 11.952 -> 10.739 (diurnal temperature range)Helped
freeze attention layers during ClimateBench finetuning (ablation)ClimaX · ClimateBench precipitation predictionsRMSE: 0.554 -> 0.549 (precipitation); 1.575 -> 1.572 (90th percentile precipitation)Mixed
use pretrained ClimaX rather than scratch-trained Cli-ViT (ablation)ClimaX · ClimateBenchTotal: 0.305 -> 0.300 (surface temperature); 15.792 -> 11.952 (diurnal temperature range); 3.430 -> 3.390 (precipitation); 4.44Mixed
use the pretrained model rather than scratch-trained Cli-ViT (ablation)ClimaX · Downscaling MPI-ESM to ERA5RMSE: 811.61 -> 807.43 (Z500); 3.58 -> 3.49 (T850); 2.80 -> 2.79 (T2m); 4.01 -> 3.99 (U10); 4.07 -> 4.06 (V10)Helped
predict all input variables in one finetuned model instead of finetuning each target separately (ablation)ClimaX · Global weather forecastingRMSEMixed
use iterative 6-hour forecasts rolled out to longer horizons instead of direct forecasts (ablation)ClimaX · Global weather forecastingRMSEHurt
condition on randomized lead time during finetuning (ablation)ClimaX · Global weather forecasting, 6 hours to 7 daysRMSENo clear effect
extend the lead-time-conditioned model beyond its finetuning range (ablation)ClimaX-cont · Global weather forecasting, 2 weeks and 1 monthRMSEHurt
increase pretraining data and model size (ablation)ClimaX · ERA5 3-day forecastingRMSEMixed
increase data resolution from 5.625° to 1.40625° (ablation)ClimaX · Global weather forecastingRMSEHelped

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