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Modeling Irregular Time Series with Continuous Recurrent Units

ICML 2022 · Time series › Causal and generative time series · approach: Neural differential equations · 8 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use CRU instead of RKN-ΔtIrregular time-series interpolation · USHCNMSE (×10⁻²): 0.009 ± 0.002 -> 0.016 ± 0.006Hurt
Use CRU instead of RKN-ΔtIrregular time-series interpolation · PhysionetMSE (×10⁻²): 0.186 ± 0.030 -> 0.182 ± 0.091Helped
Use CRU instead of RKNIrregular time-series extrapolation · USHCNMSE (×10⁻²): 1.478 ± 0.283 -> 1.273 ± 0.066Helped
Use CRU instead of mTANDIrregular time-series extrapolation · PhysionetMSE (×10⁻²): 0.340 ± 0.020 -> 0.629 ± 0.093Hurt
Use CRU instead of RKN-ΔtPendulum image interpolation · PendulumMSE (×10⁻³): 1.903 ± 0.137 -> 0.996 ± 0.052Helped
Use CRU instead of RKN-ΔtPendulum angle prediction from noisy images · Pendulum regressionMSE (×10⁻³): 5.092 ± 0.395 -> 4.626 ± 1.072Helped
Use CRU instead of GRU-ΔtPendulum angle prediction with uncertainty estimates · Pendulum regressionGaussian NLL: -5.45 ± 0.09 -> -5.49 ± 0.05Helped
Use FCRU instead of CRU (ablation)Irregular time-series interpolation · USHCNMSE (×10⁻²): 0.016 ± 0.006 -> 0.013 ± 0.004Hurt
Use FCRU instead of CRU (ablation)Irregular time-series interpolation · PhysionetMSE (×10⁻²): 0.182 ± 0.091 -> 0.194 ± 0.007Hurt
Use FCRU instead of CRU (ablation)Irregular time-series extrapolation · USHCNMSE (×10⁻²): 1.273 ± 0.066 -> 1.569 ± 0.321Hurt
Use FCRU instead of CRU (ablation)Irregular time-series extrapolation · PhysionetMSE (×10⁻²): 0.629 ± 0.093 -> 0.714 ± 0.036Hurt
Use FCRU instead of CRU (ablation)Pendulum image interpolation · PendulumMSE (×10⁻³): 0.996 ± 0.052 -> 1.386 ± 0.162Hurt

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