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Uncertainty Assessment and False Discovery Rate Control in High-Dimensional Granger Causal Inference

ICML 2017 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Causal discovery · approach: Causal discovery from time series · 7 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
use proposed FDR control instead of Benjamini-Hochbergde-biased Lasso Granger · synthetic (150,200,1) randompower: .32 -> .91Helped
use proposed FDR control instead of Bonferronide-biased Lasso Granger · synthetic (150,200,1) randompower: .31 -> .91Helped
use proposed FDR control instead of Benjamini-Hochbergde-biased Lasso Granger · synthetic (250,300,1) clusterpower: .34 -> .99Helped
use proposed FDR control instead of Benjamini-Hochbergde-biased Lasso Granger · synthetic (250,300,1) randompower: .49 -> .92Helped
use proposed FDR control instead of Benjamini-Hochbergde-biased Lasso Granger · synthetic (150,200,1) clusterFDP: .008 -> .007No clear effect
de-bias the Lasso Granger estimate and add FDR controlLasso Granger · synthetic, precision-recallrecall at equal precisionHelped
de-biased test instead of biased Lasso estimate for single non-zero parameterLasso Granger · synthetic (150,200,1) and (250,300,1)powerHelped
increase sample size and dimension from (150,200,1) to (250,300,1)de-biased estimator · synthetic randomL2 error: 0.35 -> 0.48Hurt
increase sample size and dimension from (150,200,1) to (250,300,1)de-biased estimator · synthetic randomL1 error: 3.89 -> 6.67Hurt
cluster instead of random transition matrixde-biased estimator · synthetic (150,200,1)L2 error: 0.35 -> 0.34No clear effect
use proposed FDR control instead of Bonferroni/B-H on climate datade-biased Lasso Granger · climatology CO2 vs temperature, 81 grid pointsgrid points detected: 10 -> 13Helped
lag order p=2 instead of 1de-biased test · synthetic (250,300)type I error: .050 -> .046No clear effect

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