Research map / Probabilistic and scientific modeling / Causal discovery
CUTS: Neural Causal Discovery from Irregular Time-Series Data
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Measured effects reported in the paper
| What was changed | Where | Measured | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jointly alternate causal graph fitting and learned imputation instead of using a one-shot imputation baseline (ablation) | CUTS · Lorenz-96, random missing p=0.6 | AUROC: 0.9206 $\pm$ 0.0216 -> 0.9705 $\pm$ 0.0118 | Helped |
| Add CPG-based parent selection to the imputation stage (ablation) | CUTS · Lorenz-96, random missing p=0.6 | AUROC: 0.9535 $\pm$ 0.0167 -> 0.9705 $\pm$ 0.0118 | Helped |
| Add the final fine-tuning stage (ablation) | CUTS · Lorenz-96, random missing p=0.6 | AUROC: 0.9665 $\pm$ 0.0096 -> 0.9705 $\pm$ 0.0118 | Helped |
| Replace learned iterative imputation with ZOH imputation (ablation) | CUTS · Lorenz-96, random missing p=0.6 | AUROC: 0.8731 $\pm$ 0.0312 -> 0.9705 $\pm$ 0.0118 | Hurt |
| Replace learned iterative imputation with GP imputation (ablation) | CUTS · Lorenz-96, random missing p=0.6 | AUROC: 0.8575 $\pm$ 0.0536 -> 0.9705 $\pm$ 0.0118 | Hurt |
| Replace learned iterative imputation with GRIN imputation (ablation) | CUTS · Lorenz-96, random missing p=0.6 | AUROC: 0.8983 $\pm$ 0.0299 -> 0.9705 $\pm$ 0.0118 | Hurt |
| Replace ZOH with linear interpolation for initial data filling (ablation) | CUTS · VAR, random missing p=0.6 | AUROC: 0.9766 $\pm$ 0.0074 -> 0.9636 $\pm$ 0.0145 | Hurt |
| Increase the learning budget from 25% to 100% of the original steps (ablation) | CUTS · VAR, random missing p=0.6 | AUROC: 0.9492 $\pm$ 0.0119 -> 0.9766 $\pm$ 0.0074 | Helped |
| Increase the learning budget from 25% to 100% of the original steps (ablation) | CUTS · Lorenz-96, random missing p=0.6 | AUROC: 0.9052 $\pm$ 0.0208 -> 0.9705 $\pm$ 0.0118 | Helped |
| Use CUTS instead of PCMCI with GRIN imputation | Causal discovery on VAR · VAR, random missing p=0.3 | AUROC: 0.9983 $\pm$ 0.0028 -> 0.9971 $\pm$ 0.0026 | Hurt |
| Use CUTS instead of eSRU with GP imputation | Causal discovery on Lorenz-96 · Lorenz-96, random missing p=0.6 | AUROC: 0.9597 $\pm$ 0.0169 -> 0.9705 $\pm$ 0.0118 | Helped |
| Use CUTS instead of NGC with ZOH imputation | Causal discovery on NetSim · NetSim, random missing p=0.2 | AUROC: 0.7668 $\pm$ 0.0403 -> 0.7699 $\pm$ 0.0550 | No clear effect |
Closest papers by meaning
- CUTS+: High-Dimensional Causal Discovery from Irregular Time-Series (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.96)
- Towards the Disappearing Truth: Fine-Grained Joint Causal Influences Learning with Hidden Variable-Driven Causal Hypergraphs in Time Series (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.90)
- CausalTime: Realistically Generated Time-series for Benchmarking of Causal Discovery (ICLR 2024 · similarity 0.89)
- TNPAR: Topological Neural Poisson Auto-Regressive Model for Learning Granger Causal Structure from Event Sequences (AAAI 2024 · similarity 0.89)
- GCAD: Anomaly Detection in Multivariate Time Series from the Perspective of Granger Causality (AAAI 2025 · similarity 0.89)
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