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PSA-GAN: Progressive Self Attention GANs for Synthetic Time Series

ICLR 2022 · Time series › Causal and generative time series · approach: State-space and latent dynamics forecasting · 14 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use PSA-GAN to impute missing lag observations during far-forecastingDeepAR · Far-forecastingNRMSEHelped
Use PSA-GAN to impute missing-value stretches during trainingDeepAR · Missing-value stretchesNRMSEHelped
Use PSA-GAN to impute lags and context for cold-start seriesDeepAR · Cold startsNRMSE: 0.70Helped
Use PSA-GAN samples for data augmentationDeepAR · Data augmentationNRMSE: 0.49 -> 0.64; 0.26 -> 0.3; 1.07 -> 1.07; 0.45 -> 0.50Hurt
Add 64 previous values as contextPSA-GAN · Direct forecasting across four datasetsNRMSE: 1.53 -> 1.18; 0.61 -> 0.33; 1.35 -> 1.32; 0.66 -> 0.57Helped
Remove moment loss (ablation)PSA-GAN · Context-FID ablationContext-FIDHurt
Remove self-attention (ablation)PSA-GAN · Context-FID ablationContext-FIDHurt
Remove progressive fade-in of new layers (ablation)PSA-GAN · Context-FID ablationContext-FIDHurt
Select models using Context-FIDTime-series GAN development · Forecasting tasksNRMSE: 0.71 Pearson; 0.67 SpearmanHelped

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