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Stochastic Trajectory Prediction via Motion Indeterminacy Diffusion

CVPR 2022 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Molecules and proteins · approach: Multimodal trajectory prediction · 302 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use motion indeterminacy diffusion for trajectory generation (ablation)MID versus Trajectron++ with the LSTM decoder · Stanford Drone DatasetADE: 8.98 -> 7.61Helped
Use motion indeterminacy diffusion for trajectory generation (ablation)MID versus Trajectron++ with the LSTM decoder · Stanford Drone DatasetFDE: 19.02 -> 14.30Helped
Replace the LSTM with a Transformer decoder in the CVAE-based Trajectron++ framework (ablation)Trajectron++ · Stanford Drone DatasetADE: 8.98 -> 9.86Hurt
Replace the LSTM with a Transformer decoder in the CVAE-based Trajectron++ framework (ablation)Trajectron++ · Stanford Drone DatasetFDE: 19.02 -> 19.56Hurt
Use a Transformer decoder instead of a linear decoder (ablation)MID · Stanford Drone DatasetADE: 8.85 -> 7.61Helped
Use a Transformer decoder instead of an LSTM decoder (ablation)MID · Stanford Drone DatasetADE: 8.41 -> 7.61Helped
Increase Transformer width from 512d to 1024d (ablation)MID · Stanford Drone DatasetADE: 7.61 -> 7.64Hurt
Increase Transformer width from 512d to 1024d (ablation)MID · Stanford Drone DatasetFDE: 14.30 -> 14.37Hurt
Reduce Transformer width from 512d to 256d (ablation)MID · Stanford Drone DatasetADE: 7.61 -> 7.91Hurt
Increase the number of samples from 20 to 40 (ablation)MID · Stanford Drone DatasetADE: 7.61 -> 6.84Helped
Increase the number of samples from 20 to 20×20 (ablation)MID · Stanford Drone DatasetADE: 7.61 -> 5.42Helped
Use MID with 20 samples instead of Y-Net + TTST with 10000 samplesMID versus Y-Net + TTST · Stanford Drone DatasetADE: 7.85 -> 7.61Helped

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