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Rules of the Road: Predicting Driving Behavior With a Convolutional Model of Semantic Interactions

CVPR 2019 · Multi-agent systems and games › Human-AI and goal-conditioned · approach: Data-driven traffic simulation · 288 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Add other-entity state features to target-entity input (ablation)Gaussian Regression · San Francisco vehicle forecasting, 5 secmean L2: 3.91 -> 3.36Helped
Add road-map and traffic-light features (ablation)Gaussian Regression with target and other-entity inputs · San Francisco vehicle forecasting, 5 secmean L2: 3.36 -> 3.03Helped
Add an RNN decoder to the full-input Gaussian Regression model (ablation)Gaussian Regression · San Francisco vehicle forecastingRMSE: 1.90 -> 1.82Helped
Add an RNN decoder to the full-input Grid map model (ablation)Grid map · San Francisco vehicle forecastingRMSE: 2.05 -> 1.99Helped
Use the best trajectory among the top 5 instead of a single predictionGMM-CVAE · San Francisco vehicle forecastingRMSE: 2.33 -> 1.58Helped
Use the best trajectory among the top 5 instead of a single predictionGrid map · San Francisco vehicle forecastingRMSE: 1.99 -> 1.25Helped
Use sampled multimodal Gaussian trajectories instead of Gaussian RegressionVehicle forecasting model · San Francisco vehicle forecastingRMSE: 1.82 -> 2.33Hurt
Use semantic scene and entity inputs instead of physics-only predictionGaussian Regression versus Linear · San Francisco vehicle forecasting, 1 sec and 5 secmean L2: 0.37 -> 0.44; 5.87 -> 2.99Mixed

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