Research map / Multi-agent systems and games / LLM agents
HiveMind: Contribution-Guided Online Prompt Optimization of LLM Multi-Agent Systems
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Proposes HiveMind, which uses DAG-Shapley (Shapley attribution with coalition pruning and memoization) to find underperforming agents in a 7-agent LLM stock-trading system and refines their prompts online via LLM reflection (CG-OPO).
Problem
Evaluating each agent's contribution in LLM multi-agent systems and optimizing underperforming agents online remain open; exact Shapley attribution is exponentially expensive with LLM calls.
Approach
Use Shapley values (with Sharpe-ratio coalition value) to identify the bottleneck agent in a DAG-structured agent workflow, prune non-viable coalitions and cache intermediate agent outputs (DAG-Shapley), then rewrite that agent's prompt from reflection on its failure and success cases (CG-OPO).
Key results
- CG-OPO returned 13.72% on META in the bull market vs 4.44% for w/o CG-OPO.
- DAG-Shapley reduces LLM calls from 448 to 73 (83.7% reduction) versus classic Shapley.
- CG-OPO achieved +15.15% on META and +12.62% on MSFT during the bear market, while Buy & Hold lost 3.75% and 9.50%.
Surprising findings
- NVDA bear-market return under CG-OPO was -21.81%, worse than Buy & Hold's -20.71% in Sharpe terms and higher drawdown (38.11% vs 28.41%).
Limitations
- Evaluated only on four technology stocks over a 3-month period in two market regimes.
- CG-OPO shows higher volatility and maximum drawdowns than some baselines.
Experimental setup
Baselines: w/o CG-OPO MACD SMA Buy & Hold Classic Shapley
Builds on: Shapley value verbal reinforcement learning
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