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When Will You Arrive? Estimating Travel Time Based on Deep Neural Networks

AAAI 2018 · Graph learning › Knowledge and temporal graphs · approach: Spatio-temporal graph traffic forecasting · 366 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
DeepTTE vs RnnTTE (add Geo-Conv, attention, multi-task)travel time estimation · ChengduMAPE: 15.65 -> 11.89Helped
add Geo-Conv layer (ablation)DeepTTE · Chengdu / BeijingMAPE: 13.14 -> 11.89; 12.68 -> 10.92Helped
increase Geo-Conv kernel size from 3 to 4-6 (ablation)DeepTTE · BeijingMAPE: 10.92 -> 11.18/11.31/11.38Hurt
attention instead of mean pooling (ablation)DeepTTE · Chengdu / BeijingMAPE: 12.09 -> 11.89; 11.11 -> 10.92Helped
add weatherID attribute (ablation)DeepTTE · BeijingMAPE: 1.09%Helped
add weekID attribute (ablation)DeepTTE · BeijingMAPE: 0.77%Helped
add driverID attribute (ablation)DeepTTE · BeijingMAPE: 0.30%No clear effect
multi-task local loss weight beta between 0 and 1 (ablation)DeepTTE · Chengdu / BeijingMAPEHelped
add road ID embeddings (ablation)DeepTTE · BeijingMAPE: 10.92 -> 10.59Helped

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