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Modeling the Intensity Function of Point Process Via Recurrent Neural Networks

AAAI 2017 · Time series › Causal and generative time series · approach: State-space and latent dynamics forecasting · 206 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
add event-sequence RNN to the time-series RNN (ablation)ATM failure prediction · ATM testing setF1 score (main type): 0.707 -> 0.765Helped
add time-series RNN to the event-sequence RNN (ablation)ATM failure prediction · ATM testing setF1 score (main type): 0.703 -> 0.765Helped
add time-series and event-sequence RNNs together (ablation)ATM failure prediction · ATM testing setF1 score (subtype): 0.572 -> 0.616Helped
use hierarchical rather than flat type prediction (ablation)Intensity RNN · ATM testing setF1 score (subtype): 0.616 -> 0.663Helped
use hierarchical rather than flat type prediction (ablation)Intensity RNN · ATM testing setF1 score (main type): 0.765 -> 0.662Hurt

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