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A Unifying Variational Inference Framework for Hierarchical Graph-Coupled HMM with an Application to Influenza Infection

AAAI 2016 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Variational and generative sampling · approach: Annealing and divergence-based variational objectives · 17 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
replace Gibbs EM inference with sigmoid variational inferencehGCHMM · exFlu real flu datarecall: 0.8974 -> 0.9548Helped
replace Gibbs EM inference with sigmoid variational inferencehGCHMM · exFlu real flu dataaccuracy: 0.9978 -> 0.9946No clear effect
use sigmoid VI instead of Gibbs EM at high infection rates (severe flu)hGCHMM · semi-synthetic MIT dataprediction accuracy / ROCHelped
use sigmoid VI instead of Gibbs EM at low infection rates (usual flu)hGCHMM · semi-synthetic MIT dataprediction accuracy / ROCNo clear effect
add a deeper hidden layer to the sigmoid recognition model (ablation)SigVI · hGCHMM inferenceperformanceNo clear effect

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