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Off-Policy Evaluation in Partially Observable Environments

AAAI 2020 · Reinforcement learning › MDPs and planning · approach: POMDP policy optimization · 30 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Use past and future observations as proxies for hidden states, with invertible conditional probability matricesPOMDP policy evaluation · Synthetic medical environment 1estimation biasHelped
Use observed-history importance weights instead of hidden-state importance weightsImportance Sampling · POMDPs without the sufficient conditionestimation error: 0.63α + 0.2γHurt
Increase confoundednessImportance Sampling · Synthetic medical environment 1estimation biasHurt
Apply the Decoupled POMDP estimator where conditional probability matrices are nearly non-invertibleDecoupled POMDP evaluation · Synthetic medical environment 2varianceHurt
Use observed-history importance weightsImportance Sampling · Synthetic medical environment 3estimation biasNo clear effect
Use the Decoupled POMDP estimator instead of the observed-history IS variantPolicy evaluation · Synthetic medical environments 2 and 3estimation accuracyNo clear effect

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