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Deep Mixed Effect Model Using Gaussian Processes: A Personalized and Reliable Prediction for Healthcare

AAAI 2020 · Time series › Causal and generative time series · approach: Probabilistic and conformal forecasting · 15 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
combine a shared RNN mean function with patient-specific Gaussian ProcessesDME-GP · NHIS medical checkup, task averageAUC: 0.720 -> 0.778Helped
combine a shared mean function with patient-specific Gaussian ProcessesDME-GP (MLP) · Vital-Sign Dataset, heart rateRMSE: 0.194 -> 0.150Helped
remove the shared global mean function and use an individual zero mean (ablation)DME-GP (MLP) · Vital-Sign Dataset, heart rateRMSE: 0.150 -> 0.243Hurt
use one rather than four global-mean experts (ablation)DME-GP mixture of experts · NHIS medical checkup, ArrhythmiaAUC: 0.74 -> 0.823Hurt
use two rather than four global-mean experts (ablation)DME-GP mixture of experts · NHIS medical checkup, ArrhythmiaAUC: 0.723 -> 0.823Hurt
vary the number of global-mean experts from one to four (ablation)DME-GP mixture of experts · NHIS medical checkup, disease risk tasksAUCMixed
use the personalized model on easy rather than hard patientsDME-GP · NHIS medical checkup, AtherosclerosisAUC: 0.691 -> 1Helped

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