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Early Prediction of Diabetes Complications from Electronic Health Records: A Multi-Task Survival Analysis Approach

AAAI 2018 · Probabilistic and scientific modeling › Molecules and proteins · approach: Statistical analysis of ML practice · 37 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
add ranking loss to log-normal regression (RankSvx vs regression) (ablation)Log-normal regression · T2DM complications avgconcordance index: 0.5156 -> 0.6041Helped
add ranking loss to log-normal regression (ablation)Log-normal regression · T2DM complications avgMAE: 6.3643 -> 6.1102Helped
RankSvx Log-normal vs Cox modelsurvival modeling · T2DM complications avgMAE: 13.749 -> 6.1102Helped
RankSvx Log-normal vs Cox modelsurvival modeling · T2DM complications avgconcordance index: 0.5860 -> 0.6041Helped
squared loss RankSvx vs Coxsurvival modeling · T2DM complications avgconcordance index: 0.5860 -> 0.5859No clear effect
add ranking loss to Poisson regression (ablation)Poisson regression · T2DM complications avgconcordance index: 0.5137 -> 0.5999Helped
add ranking loss to Poisson regression (ablation)Poisson regression · T2DM complications avgMAE: 6.4710 -> 6.7683Hurt
multi-task learning over complications vs single-task, full data (ablation)RankSvx Log-normal · T2DM complications avgconcordance index: 0.6041 -> 0.6080Helped
multi-task learning with only 25% training data (ablation)RankSvx Log-normal · T2DM complications avgconcordance index: 0.5712 -> 0.5767Helped
multi-task learning (ablation)RankSvx Log-normal · T2DM complications avgMAE: 6.1102 -> 6.1161No clear effect
multi-task learning on HYPER with 25% data (ablation)RankSvx Log-normal · HYPERconcordance index: 0.5406 -> 0.5517Helped

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