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Reinforcement-Learning Based Portfolio Management with Augmented Asset Movement Prediction States

AAAI 2020 · Reinforcement learning › Offline RL · approach: Diffusion models for offline decision making · 168 citations (OpenAlex)

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Measured effects reported in the paper

What was changedWhereMeasuredEffect
Augment asset-price states with movement-prediction labelsDPM on Bitcoin · BitcoinPortfolio Value: 140.9%Helped
Augment asset-price states with news-derived movement representationsDPM on HighTech · HighTechPortfolio Value: 15.7%Helped
Augment states with movement-prediction informationDPM on Bitcoin · BitcoinSharpe Ratio: 11.73%Helped
Augment states with movement-prediction informationDPM on HighTech · HighTechSharpe Ratio: 40.45%Helped
Use movement predictions with accuracy above 60%DPM on Bitcoin and HighTech · Bitcoin and HighTech simulationsPortfolio Value: 60%Helped
Use sparse movement labels with 50% density and 70% accuracyDPM on Bitcoin · Bitcoin simulationPortfolio Value: 90.3%Helped
Increase movement-label densitySARL on Bitcoin · Bitcoin simulationPortfolio ValueHelped
Use financial-news embeddings instead of random labels at similar prediction accuracySARL on HighTech · HighTech simulationPortfolio ValueHelped
Use SARL with PG or PPO rather than DPMRL-based portfolio management · Bitcoin and HighTechSharpe RatioMixed

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